The Output Prediction And Development Strategies Of The Logistics Industry In Guangdong Province

Logistics industry output analysis is a important measure of the level of development of the logistics industry and the development prospects in Guangdong Province. With the restructuring and adjustment of industrial structure of Guangdong, and the deepening of regional economic cooperation in Guangdong Province, Guangdong logistics industry will become a new growth point of economic development. The output of the logistics industry are affected by such as the total economic output, industrial structure and other factors.In this paper, on the basis of using input-output method to analyze the spillover effect between the logistics industry and other sectors of the Industry .Finally I find the main factors of the logistics industry, the logistics industry in Guangdong Province is highly related with the national economic output ,especially retail trade output index and Logistics investment in fixed assets, also highly correlated with the civil aviation milestone ,which is behalf of logistics infrastructure in Guangdong Province. Through the analysis of logistics industry in Guangdong Province, we can obtain logistics industry trends in the flowing years, as well as the correlation between logistics and industrial, construction, the tertiary industry. By studying correlation between the logistics industry and the retail industry, modern logistics facilities and other economic development indicators of relevance, then I build the logistics output model in Guangdong Province, and predict the market prospects of the logistics industry and the output volume in the next five years. View of the existing resources to make a few contradictions in policy recommendations for Logistics industry in Guangdong Province.