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Positive Research On China's Economic Cycles Since The Reform

Posted on:2005-11-14Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y J LiFull Text:PDF
GTID:2156360122988289Subject:Technical Economics and Management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
China has seen both economic growth and economic fluctuations. Under the planned economic system, the economy was affected greatly by the plan-makers, as result, the objective laws of economic growth was disturbed and twisted to a large extent, leading to economic growth turning up and down wildly for many times. Since the reform, the functions of market mechanism are becoming stronger and stronger with the transforming the planned economic into the socialist market economy. As result of that, the economic cycles have come into a new stage different from any old one. Systematic measurement and analysis of the new features appearing in economic cycles since the reform of 20 years, and then searching for the forming mechanism of economic cycles will be no doubt of significance in both theory and practice for us to realize the objective regularity of economic fluctuations, grasp the developing trend of economy in the operation, take the macroeconomic control with proper way in order to maintain the continuation, stability and coordination of the national economic development.My thesis has three parts: In Part 1, I briefly introduce the background of the selected title, the goal of research and research meaning of this text. I mainly study the concept, the theory putted forward by the economists about the reason causing economic fluctuation and the macroeconomic control to economic fluctuations. In Part 2, I regard Chinese economic cycle as the observing object, Using the traditional method and economic mathematical model to measure and analyze Chinese economic cycle systematically since the reform, then I study the nature, characteristic and main influencing factor of Chinese economic fluctuations since the reform of 20 years. Part3, which concentrates on the real reason and transmitting mechanism of China's economic fluctuations firstly. Then on the basis of gentle research ago, I discuss the basic thoughts and countermeasures regulating China's economic fluctuations according to the "against economic cycles" theory.Economic fluctuation is not only a key theoretical question in macroeconomics but also a great practice question closely related to actual life. It is a very important but very difficult work to measure, analyze and predict it. Today it is a work with more challenge to measure and analyze the new changes that appear in economic fluctuations accurately. Seeing that I have limited ability, the analysis and conclusion of some chapters can only be trying and exploratory in the article, which also needs inspection in the future and further revision and perfection with future economic development.
Keywords/Search Tags:Economic cycles, Economic growth, Economic modeling, Macroeconomic control, Positive analysis
PDF Full Text Request
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