Analysis On The Carbon Emissions And Driving Factors Among Provinces Of China

The climate problem concerns to the world’s most. In order to support economic growth and industrialization process, energy demand will continue to increase as the world’s carbon emissions. But faced with the increasingly serious environmental problems, China has the responsibility to take up the task of energy saving. In2009, China’s "Twelfth Five-Year Plan", wrote:"By2010the unit GDP carbon dioxide emissions (carbon intensity) than in2005dropped to40%to45%".This article will choose the energy consumption data and input-output data of30provinces; calculate the direct and total carbon emissions of2002and2007. Then the structural decomposition of carbon emissions for the dependent variable use SDA decomposition method, conclusions are as follows:(1) The total amount of carbon emissions continue to increase, but the decline in carbon intensity.(2) Economic development, the corresponding Chinese industrial carbon emissions-intensive areas is relatively high. Because these areas belong to the coal-dominated energy structure, oil and gas accounted for a small percentage of the energy structure and industrial and construction in these areas, especially in heavy industry is characterized by some of the high energy consumption, high emission industries to be developed than other provinces.(3)The main factors affecting the interprovincial carbon transfer is the difference between industrial structure and demand structure; meet their own needs are mainly concentrated in the central and western provinces and underdeveloped areas, and inter-provincial trade dependence on a relatively large area of coastal region; net exports as the main carbon emissions in areas where there are positive:Fujian, Tianjin, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Guangdong; China has been carrying the high consumption and high emissions of developed industrial transfer of carbon emissions, international trade is to reduce carbon emissions in developed countries in recent years.(4) Improve production technology causes expansion of production scale and sustained increase in energy consumption, so the increase in carbon emissions. Final consumption patterns is a positive effect on carbon emissions, the contribution rate directly affect China’s energy saving. With particular attention to carbon emissions from net exports is a positive effect relationship.Comprehensive the30provinces carbon emissions, we should combined with the basic situation of our country from all regions to improve several aspects of energy efficiency, energy structural reform, industrial restructuring and reform of consumption patterns, which are the focus of energy conservation and emission reduction targets.