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A Class Of Distributions And Their Applications In Risk Theory

Posted on:2006-04-28Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:S H JiaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2190360152997666Subject:Probability theory and mathematical statistics
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This dissertation is devoted to the development of ruin theory about the tailed distribution of individual claim.To begin with, we discuss theories of tailed- distribution between the heavy-tailed distribution and the light-tailed distribution. We also consider the relation between the failure rate and the equilibrium failure rate.we shall use these results to classify the relevant claim-size distributions. At last ,we do so in the mixture distributions.Some preliminaries are given in Chapter 1, we first introduce some risk models and heavy-tailed claim distributions. Then we study a special kind light-tailed distribution and get some base theories; a local limit theorem for the probability of ruin in the renewal risk model; ruin probability in perturbed risk models. Theorem1.2.1 If distributions F,G have finite mean and G, F ∈ L(γ), F ωG then Theorem 1.2.2 If the distribution F with finite mean, and lim r(x) = γ,γ > 0,when (?)x≥ x0, x0 > 0, r(x) ≤γ,then F∈S(r).Theorem 1.2.3 If the distribution F with lim r(x) = r, andr(x) ≥ γ,γ > 0,(?)x ∈ [0,∞) thenwhere G(x) = eγxF(x).Theorem 1.3.1 If the distribution F with support on [0,∞), Thenwhere G(x) = e-"7IF(x).Theorem 1.3.2 Assume the distribution F with the failure rate r(x),and r(x) > 7, Va; G [0,00), if limsupx[r(x) - 7] < 00, then F G 5(7).1—yooTheorem 1.3.3 If the failure rate of F eventually decreases to 7,7 > 0, and Jo°°e?F{y)dy < oo,then(a) F G 5(7) ?=>■ /0°° exp{xr(x))F{x)dx = /0°° e?F(y)dy.(b) If the function x h exp(a;r(x)^5(x)) integrals on [0,00), then F G 5(7). Lemma 1.4.3 If F G 5(7),7 > 0, for every Z > 0, and n > 1 ,thenF*n{u, u + z) n(l - e"7z)F(u)( / . Theorem 1.4.1 If 7 G (0,oo),In Chapter 2, we mainly investigate the failure rate ,the equilibrium failure rate and get the relation between them , and get a way to classify the heavy -tailed distribution.At last,we study these in the mixture distribution and get some theorems. Theorem 2.2.1 If F has finite mean,(1) If F is IFR,then Re{x) > r(x),(2) If F is DFR,then Re(x) < r(x). Theorem 2.2.2 If F has finite mean,(1) If F is IFR, then re{x) >r{x).(2) If F is DFR, then re{x) < r{x).Theorem 2.2.3 Assume lim — 1jc' = c > 0, if rej(x) is the equilibrium failurerate of Fi,i = 1,2, and re\{x) ->? 7, then re2(x) ->■ 7.Theorem 2.3.1 If the distributions Fi(x),F2(x) have support on [0,00) andri(t),i = 1,2 are decreasing, then the equilibrium failure rate in (2.3.3) re(t) isdecreasing .Corollary 2.3.1 If the distributions^ (x), Fi(x) with support on [0,00) andn(t), i = 1,2,3...n are decreasing, then the equilibrium failure rate in(2.3.3) re(t)is decreasing.Corollary 2.3.2 If rei(t) = Jj^ -?? m € [0,oo],i = 1,2,3, ...n,t -> 00,Then re{t) -> mini 1, andrei(t) eventually decreases to ai, if rej(t),i = 1,2,3... are differentiable,(1) ^| = o(e"0,^<%-a1,(2) ^ = o(e^), ^ < min2
Keywords/Search Tags:ruin probability, the perturbed model, the heavy-tailed distribution, the failure rate, the equilibrium distribution, Brown motion, Levy motion
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