| During the tenth five-year plan, with the development of marketing reforms Beijing has made marked achievements in the field of politics, economics and cultures. Meanwhile, the urban non-safeguards the senior groups are also growing. Paying attention to solve the problem of social security for Beijing urban non-safeguards the senior group has already become an urgent political issue in the aspect of mending our paces in capital economic construction and keeping capital social order and prosperity.This article proceeds from Beijing social and economics objective realities. Based on China statistics yearbook, work and social security yearbook, the General survey data of Beijing works and the social security bureau and Capital University of Economics and Business in 2007.This article has studied the measure of the urban non-safeguards the senior group described the size of the urban non-safeguards the senior group, built risk-warning system of fund in basic medical insurance system for urban non-safeguards the senior group. As mentioned above, this article has discusses the problems in issues of Beijing basic medical insurance system for urban non-safeguards the senior group. Based above, this article also provides Countermeasures to fight medical insurance problem for urban non-safeguards the senior group.Based on theoretical analysis, the research methods of this article focus on statistics and actuarial mathematic analysis of social security. Especially in the study of medical insurance of Beijing urban non-safeguards group, through modeling the urban non-safeguards senior group, building actuarial model and measuring the fund in basic medical insurance system. At the same time demonstrates that the idea, corresponding with the actual economics conditions, is more reliable and practical than other measuring methods. Further more, in the study of risk-warning system of fund in basic medical insurance system for urban non-safeguards the senior group, to design a scientific, weighable and operable risk early-warning System of fund in basic medical insurance system for urban non-safeguards the senior group. It can be used to measure and supervise the risk of fund, and give risk alarm when necessary, in order to give useful information to social security department and insure the fund safe.The conclusion of this article is as follows: Although during the tenth five-year plan Beijing urban non-safeguards the senior group, has made marked achievements in the aspect of fighting urban non-safeguards problem, but the medical insurance has a lot of problem in operating and managing. So, building risk-warning system of fund in basic insurance system for urban non-safeguards group is necessary. |