| As a major manufacturing country and a permanent member of the United Nations,China is under great pressure on the common issue of global warming caused by excessive greenhouse gas emissions.In order to meet the new requirements of environmental protection in the new era,China has made a solemn commitment and proposed new greenhouse gas emission reduction targets.As the pillar of China’s economy,the industry is looking for a new path to reduce emissions with low cost and good results.In this paper,the two mainstream emission reduction paths,forest carbon sink emission reduction and carbon quota emission reduction,were compared to find the ideal emission reduction path for industrial enterprises in the new situation.This paper by the national development and reform commission in 2013 to determine the carbon trading pilot as object,directional distance function parametric method is used to estimate the sample area carbon shadow price of industrial enterprises,using the method of optimal model and volume conversion method to calculate the forest carbon sinks in the optimal price,the final use much starker choices-and graver consequences-in the carbon intensity of greenhouse gas emission reduction measures push the enterprise to reduce emissions under the current policy on control line total dispersion.Through the research in this paper,the marginal cost of carbon dioxide emission reduction of industrial enterprises in the sample area is significantly different,both in time series and space series.The quota price in the sample area also has a very strong space to rise.Through the direct comparison of the two emission reduction methods and combined with the greenhouse gas control and emission control schemes of all regions in the 13 th five-year plan,it is concluded that the substitution of forest carbon sink for emission reduction can significantly reduce the environmental cost for enterprises.Based on the above results,relevant policy recommendations are given: continue to explore trading in key industrial carbon markets and the price of carbon commodities,and expand the applicable industry of emission trading if conditions permit;Relevant supporting documents of forest carbon sink should be issued as soon as possible;Improve the monitoring technology of enterprise emissions,and crack down on illegal emissions;We will enrich the types of forest carbon sink commodities and appropriately increase the proportion of forest carbon sink offset in total emissions. |