A Study On The Evaluation Of China’s Provincial Low Carbon Economy Development Level And The Path Of Influencing Factors Of Carbon Emissions

In the past few decades,people have been steadily pursuing rapid economic development,and the degree of industrialization has intensified.The economic growth has mainly depended on the massive consumption of energy,which has led to a significant increase in greenhouse gases and serious environmental damage.The World Meteorological Organization stated in the 2017 Greenhouse Gas Bulletin that＂the average global atmospheric concentration of major greenhouse gases reached a new high in 2017,and the concentrations of carbon dioxide,methane and nitrous oxide were respectively 146%,257%,122%of preindustrial levels,and this upward trend has not shown signs of reversal,which may further lead to long-term climate warming,sea level rise and more extreme weather." The high emission of greenhouse gases has become a huge challenge for all mankind.The low carbon economy is produced in this context.As the largest developing country,China is currently facing problems such as unreasonable industrial structure and energy consumption structure and large carbon emissions.In coordinating economic growth and carbon emissions,reducing carbon emissions is an inevitable path for China to achieve economic stability,harmony,healthy and sustainable development,while developing a low-carbon economy is the only way to achieve carbon emission reduction.Therefore,to explore the development status of China’s provincial low-carbon economy and analyze the path of action between carbon emission in:fluencing factors,it has important theoretical and practical significance for China to achieve carbon emission reduction,develop low-carbon economy,and finally achieve sustainable economic development.Based on the data of China’s 30 provinces and cities from 2001 to 2016,this thesis explores the development of the provincial low-carbon economy and the path of carbon emission influencing factors based on the TODIM method and structural equation model.This thesis first introduces the relevant theories of low-carbon economy,reviews the relevant literature on the carbon emission calculation,low-carbon economy and carbon emissions factors,and analyzes and summarizes the research status at home and abroad.Secondly,the sub-angle and sub-regions introduce the status quo of China’s low-carbon economy development and carbon emissions.Then,from the five aspects of economic growth,social development,energy consumption,technological progress,environmental pollution and protection,the second-level indicators are selected to construct the evaluation index system,and the TODIM method is used to evaluate 30 provinces and cities in China from 2001 to 2016 in both horizontal and vertical dimensions.Thirdly,industrialization,urbanization,economic growth,energy consumption,and technological progress are selected to analyze the possible conduction paths between the factors affecting carbon emissions,and the theoretical model of the path of carbon emission factors is proposed.At the same time,according to the theoretical model constructed,using the structural equation model empirically studied the path of action between the factors affecting carbon emissions.Finally,proposals for the development of a low-carbon economy have been proposed from the three levels of the state,the enterprise and the public.The conclusions of this thesis are as follows:in the evaluation of the development level of low-carbon economy,for the low-carbon economic development level of China’s 30 provinces and cities from 2001 to 2016,from the horizontal perspective,Zhejiang’s overall low-carbon economic development level is the best,and Shanxi is the worst.From a vertical perspective,China’s low carbon economy development level is increasing significantly,the overall low-carbon economy developed at 2015 was the best,and the worst in 2001.In general,the low-carbon economic development levels of China’s 30 provinces and cities from 2001 to 2016 were basically consistent with changes in economic development.In terms of the path of carbon emission influencing factors,economic growth and energy consumption can directly promote carbon emissions.Energy consumption is the main force that leads to an increase in carbon emissions.Technological progress is conducive to carbon emission reduction.Industrialization has a positive impact on carbon emissions through the transmission of economic growth and energy consumption.And urbanization has a negative impact on carbon emissions through the transmission of economic growth,energy consumption and technological advancement.Finally,several suggestions are put forward:(1)As the leader of low-carbon economy,the government should plan the development of low-carbon economy,formulate relevant policies,regulations and systems for low-carbon economic development in accordance with China’s national conditions,to providing legal protection for the development of a low carbon economy.(2)As a major force in the development of low-carbon economy,enterprises must not only improve the energy consumption structure,but also vigorously develop and utilize new energy sources,strengthen their own innovation capabilities and increase investment in research and development,especially for low-carbon technologies.(3)As a member of the state,the public must first consciously enhance their understanding of the low-carbon economy,and secondly,quit bad consumption habits,form good consumption habits,and finally change the consumption structure and pay attention to spiritual consumption.