Analysis Of The Impact Of Population Aging On International Capital Flows In China

With the rapid development of the global economy,the problem of population aging is becoming more and more serious.Twenty-first Century,China will also face the problems brought about by the aging of the population.Along with China's rapid economic growth over the past 30 years,China's population structure has also changed rapidly,aging trend is increasingly evident.In the new stage of the demographic transition and economic development,especially for such a long Chinese rely mainly on exports and investment growth in the country,influence on the relationship between population aging and the international balance of payments structure,so that the effect of the relationship between population ageing and international capital flow is particularly important.This article combines the theory research and empirical research,the influence of population aging on the international capital flow,the theory from the two aspects of saving investment balance and labor market based on the theoretical analysis of the,At the same time,taking into account the special situation of China's "not rich first old",the impact of the path for further analysis.In the empirical method,combining the population forecast model and multi period multi model in order to obtain relevant effects in order to observe the concrete path,the impact on international capital flows and the aging of the population,were analyzed to draw conclusions and policy recommendations of the.Through the theoretical analysis of the impact of changes in the population structure on capital flows,this paper expounds the problems from two perspectives of savings investment balance and capital labor ratio.Through the analysis of the influence of two different paths for different periods of time,can solve the development of population structure of a country and the region provide clarity.In view of our country's "not rich first old" special national conditions,clear the need for attention in the process of population transformation;Through the empirical research first to verify the savings investment balance and capital labor ratio of two in the path of influence of population aging on the capital flow direction,further the conclusion of consistency,in the study of populationaging on the impact of capital flow,it is indispensable in conjunction with three aspects analysis:the change of population structure,the output of capital(capital input)and net assets of a country.To promote the process of the single country has net assets reduced after the first increase in the aging population;in the process of aging but also in the aging degree between different countries,capital flows caused by aging population is the aging population of relatively light region to a higher degree of aging area.Population aging is the ultimate trend in the process of economic and social development,it is the inevitable development of history,we can not stop the process of aging population.At the same time,due to the change of population structure in the process gives us a lot of opportunities and challenges,grasp the relationship between population structure and economic and social development for China's economic development is practical to avoid falling into the middle-income trap and to realize target of the transition to higher income countries.