A Study On The Effect Of Employment Poverty Alleviation Based On The Perspective Of Vulnerability To Poverty

The primary problem of poverty alleviation is the accurate identification of the poor and the implementation of scientific poverty-alleviation measures.Under the background that China will achieve the goal(all poverty-stricken populations will be out of poverty under the current standards)in 2020,the poverty prevention of poverty in relatively poor areas will be of great significance,for the construction of poverty alleviation framework in the era of poverty alleviation in China after 2020.As a key indicator of poverty prevention,vulnerability to poverty pays more attention to the welfare characteristics of rural population in future,so it is a more forward-looking poverty identification indicator.From the perspective of vulnerability to poverty,how to prevent poverty scientifically in the new era has become an important topic at the current stage,and it is also the main reason for China to establish a poverty alleviation reform pilot.This paper takes Suqian,a state-level poverty alleviation reform pilot area,as a sample to study the characteristics of vulnerability to poverty of farmers on relatively poor areas and the impact of the anti-poverty project through employment promotion on the alleviation of vulnerability to poverty.Our study aimed to achieve four basic goals: firstly,we measured the vulnerability to poverty in relatively poor areas;the second is to analyze the relationship between current poverty and current vulnerability(poverty in future)and judged the deviation degree of the current poverty identification target.Thirdly,it clarified the relationship between participating in employment and alleviating vulnerability to poverty,and analyzed the reasonable direction of policy adjustment by distinguishing the different effects of work on poor households and non-poor households.Fourthly,this paper further analyzed the difference of the impact of local work and migrant workon the vulnerability to poverty,and gives reasonable suggestions based on their advantages and disadvantages in practice.The data used in this study were derived from the survey conducted by our research team.We took 15 administrative villages in Suyu/Siyang/Shuyang in Suqian city in 2017.We collected 353 households as samples,and the number of valid questionnaires was 342.The study found that under the three poverty lines of 4,000 yuan,6,000 yuan and 8,000 yuan,the proportion of vulnerable households in the total sample was 30.70%,43.57% and 52.63%,respectively.And the proportion of vulnerable households was lower than the current sample poverty incidence which is 55.85%.The current poverty is not related to the current fragility,that is,the current poor farmers do not necessarily fall into poverty in the future,and the non-poor farmers in the current period may also fall into poverty.Participation in employment and income level can significantly reduce the vulnerability level of the total sample.The separate tests for poor and non-poor households also have significant effects.Further analysis shows that from the perspective of income,migrant work are more advantageous than local employment in reducing poverty vulnerability.Considering the possible endogenous effects on the research results,this paper uses Propensity Score Matching(PSM)to test the results,and the conclusions are consistent.Based on the above research conclusions,this paper believes that poverty policy should pay more attention to optimize the target of poverty-alleviation policy,and focus more on poor farmers in future;implement more industrial supporting policies to promote employment in poor area;promote the development of labor market in rural areas,and thus achieve poverty alleviationsustainability.Although migrant workers can alleviate vulnerability to poverty more effectively,in practice,we should also weigh the expenditure-type poverty caused by migrant workers,the problem of “three-stays” and the transfer of rural poor to cities.