Schedule Risk Evaluation And Resources Allocation Schemes Decision Of YGH Exploration Well

Chinese Oil Gas exploration well has many uncertainties and high level of risk.Schedule risk is often the KPI.Due to the nature of exploration of such project.,decision making is always based on limited intelligence,empirical ideas,therefore an irrational circumstance.It is easy to produce excessive or too little assessment of risk levels and resource allocation,and if it occurs on the critical path of the project,this impact is extremely detrimental to project schedule risk management.In recent years with the advancement of behaviour economics,the risk evaluation and resolution analysis method from traditional economy has met shortages when people are in finite rationality.Based on the fact that people are in limited rationality in offshore oil and gas exploration well projects,this thesis studies the evaluation of schedule risk and the decision-making of resource allocation scheme in offshore oil and gas exploration well project,through the comparative analysis and empirical investigation of traditional economics and behaviour economics.This thesis run the analysis on YGH exploration well project,analysis the Risk Evaluation and resource allocation scheme decision of this project.First based on risk evaluation theory and model,frame the risk evaluation and decision-making of resource allocation scheme model of this project.Secondly by Export Grading and Risk Graphing Method runs the risk identification and management.Finally,based on the results above,by the project Network Diagram method,Decision Tree method,with the Expected Utility Theory and Prospect Theory,runs the risk Assessment and resource allocation scheme decision of the contractor in the project.According to the different scenarios in the project,this paper analysis the difference of theoretical analysis between the traditional economic and the of behaviour economics.Through investigation analysis the applicability of the analysis framework.This thesis solves the challenge of traditional economic theory where the scheduling risk assessment and resource allocation Scheme decision of offshore oil and gas exploration project under of limited rationality are not fully applicable.