| Objective This study focus on “comprehensive two children ”policy.The fertility intention and the second child birth plan of “Post-80s” occupational population of three north cities was investigated to realize the difference between The fertility intention and the second child birth plan,enrich the research direction of the current two-child policy and provide a more scientific and direct theoretical basis for the state to formulate relevant encouragement measures and further improve the "universal two-child" policy.Methods The cross-sectional study design use the convenient sampling method to respectively choose 5 companies and 5 institutions as the study sites.All the urban "post-80s" who were born between January 1,1980 and December 31,1989(±5 years old)and had married and had a child were included in the questionnaire survey.The contents of the survey mainly included demographic characteristics,fertility intention,second child birth plan,one-child rearing experience and related scales.Chi-square test was used to analyze the difference between fertility intention and second child birth plan,and ANOVA and Chi-square test were used to analyze the distribution of demographic characteristics,one-child rearing experience and other related factors of respondents with different family planning.Disordered multi-classification stepwise Logistic regression was used to analyze the main influencing factors of the second child birth plan and their influencing degrees.Stratified Logistic regression was used to analyze the interaction of related influencing factors on the second child birth plan.Results 1.A total of 1,607 respondents were surveyed in this study,the median age of all respondents was 32.7(±3.3)years old.There were 1200(74.7%)females,1119(69.6%)local residents,781(48.6%)undergraduate,891(55.4%)respondents earning between 3000 and 5000 yuan,837(52.1%)only children,876(54.4%)Staff of public institutions and 822(51.2%)Workplace skills staff.2.According to the survey results of fertility intention,1,061(66%)people want to have two children,while 418(26%)people want to have one child.980(61%)would like to have both children,145(9%)would prefer a girl and only 64(4%)would prefer a boy.According to the survey results of second child birth plan,852(53%)do not plan to have a second child,337(21%)have no idea,and only 418(26%)clearly indicate they intend to have a second child.Chi-square test result shows that number of intended children and gender preference have significant difference whit second child birth plan.There were 659(41%)respondents whoes number of intended children consistent with the second child birth plan,and only 498(31%)respondents whoes gender preference consistent with the second child birth plan.3.The distribution of gender(X~2 = 37.4,P < 0.001),household registration(X~2 = 8.63,P= 0.013),educational level(X~2 = 35.61,P < 0.001),monthly income(X~2 = 19.62,P = 0.001),only children or not(X~2 = 22.38,P < 0.001),unit type(X~2 = 7.341,P = 0.025)and post type(X~2 = 10.04,P = 0.04)of respondents with defferent second child birth plan in the survey has significant difference.The mean age of respondents(F=12.39,P < 0.001)with different second child birth plan was significantly different.The influence degree of first child raising experience(X~2=50.5,P < 0.001),the degree of conformity of the extent to which the experience of raising a first child conforms to expectations(X~2=53.98,P<0.001)and the time of raising first child(X~2=9.03,P=0.011)of respondents with different second child birth plan was significantly different.The total social support score(F=15.37,P < 0.001),objective support(F=6.07,P=0.002),subjective support(F=7.21,P=0.001)and support utilization score(F=16.65,P < 0.001)were significantly different among the respondents with different second child birth plan.The ERI ratio(X~2=6.68,P=0.035)and life satisfaction(X~2=7.78,P=0.020)of respondents with different second child birth plan.4.The older the respondents were,the more likely they were not to have a second child(OR=1.12,95%CI: 1.08～1.17).The probability of men not to have a second child was 0.46 times that of women(95%CI: 0.34～0.62).The probability of not planning to have a second child for those with graduate degree or above and undergraduate degree was 0.41 times(95%CI=0.22～0.77)and 0.42 times(95%CI: 0.28～0.64),respectively,compared with those with high school or below.Respondents with a monthly income of 3000～5000 were 1.50 times more likely than those with a monthly income of 5000(95%CI: 1.09～2.07)to not have a second child.Only childrenren were 1.38 times more likely to not have a second child than non-only childrenren(95%CI: 1.06～1.79).Professional and technical staff were 1.52 times more likely than administrative staff to not plan to have a second child(95%CI: 1.01～2.29).The respondents who think first child raising experience consistent with expectation and who have no idea whether first child raising experience consistent with expectation or not were0.28 times and 0.46 times,respectively,compared with those who think first child raising experience do not consistent with expectation.The lower the utilization of social support,the higher the probability of not wanting to have a second child,OR value was 0.86(95%CI:0.79～0.93).Those with low life satisfaction were 1.34 times more likely to not have a second child than those with high life satisfaction(95%CI: 1.01～1.76),P < 0.05 above all.5.Among the subjects,males(OR=0.98,95%CI: 0.97-0.99)were less likely than females to avoid having a second child with the increase of age.With the increase of age,the probability of respondents who have no idea whether first child raising experience consistent with expectation or not(OR=0.96,95%CI:0.94～0.98)was lower than those who think first child raising experience do not consistent with expectation,the probability of respondents who think first child raising experience consistent with expectation was lower than those who think not,and the probability of respondents who have no idea was lower than those who think first child raising experience consistent with expectation.Male(OR=0.90,95%CI:0.87～0.94)was less likely than female to have no second child plan with the increase of support utilization degree.With the increase of support utilization degree,the probability of not having second child of respondents with graduate degree(OR=0.92,95%CI:0.84～0.99)was lower than those with high school education or below,the probability of respondents with bachelor degree(OR=0.90,95%CI:0.85～0.95)was lower than those with high school education or below,and the probability of respondents with graduate degree was lower than those with bachelor degree.With the increase of support utilization degree,the probability of not having second child of only children(OR=1.04,95%CI:1.01～1.08)was lower than non-only children.The respondents with monthly income of "3000～5000 yuan" are less likely not to have a second child than those with "5000 yuan or more" with the increase of support utilization.Those with low life satisfaction were less likely to have no second child than those with high life satisfaction(OR=0.81,95%CI=0.70～0.94)with the increase of support utilization.Conclusion 1.There was a significant difference between the second child birth plan and the fertility intention of the "post-80s" occupational group in northern China,which shows that the second child birth plan was significantly lower than the fertility intention.2.Age,gender,education level,monthly income,only child or not,post type,degree of first child raising experience consistent with expectation,social support and life satisfaction are the main influencing factors for the second-child birth plan of the "post-80s" occupational group in northern China.3.Scientific and perfect social security measures can effectively improve the second child birth plan for women,the only child,middle and low-income people and those with high education. |
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