Research On The Factors And Mechanisms Influencing Carbon Emissions From Direct Living Energy Consumption Of Urban And Rural Residents In China The Perspective Of Fiscal Support For Agriculture

In recent years,the excessive emission of carbon dioxide has caused a series of global problems,which pose a serious threat to human survival.In the coming decades,human society must solve the problems brought about by the rough development of the past two hundred years to the climate.Therefore,all countries need to work together to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.At the general debate of the 75 th United Nations General Assembly,China announced the goal of carbon peak and carbon neutral,that is,to strive to reach the peak of China’s carbon dioxide emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutral by 2060.With the increase of residents’ income,the carbon emissions of residents’ living energy consumption has become one of the important sources of greenhouse gases.In order to deeply analyze the spatial mechanism of carbon emissions of residents’ living energy consumption in China,based on the living energy consumption data of urban residents and rural residents in 30 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government)from 2011 to 2021,the carbon emissions of living energy consumption can be calculated through the carbon emission coefficient method,And through spatial Dubin model and threshold regression model,its spatial mechanism and threshold effect are analyzed in depth.The research results show that:the carbon emissions of urban residents’ living energy consumption have a spatial spillover effect after 2012.The urban-rural gap,the financial strength to support agriculture and the agricultural structure have a restraining effect on the carbon emissions of China’s residents’ living energy consumption,and the spatial spillover effect is significant;The economic structure and technical level will promote the carbon emissions of China’s residents’ living energy consumption to varying degrees.Through the intermediary effect test,it is found that the financial strength of supporting agriculture can reduce the carbon emissions of urban residents’ living energy consumption through the intermediary effect of the level of economic development;The intermediary effect of urbanization rate is used to reduce the carbon emissions of rural residents’ living energy consumption.The intermediary effect values are-0.110 and-0.077 respectively,which are less than the direct effect.The Z values of sobel test are-2.664 and 2.422 respectively,which are significant at the level of 1%.This again verifies the existence of the transmission mechanism,that is,the inhibition of the core explanatory variable agricultural finance is weakened,This shows that the inhibition of agricultural finance on carbon emissions of residents’ living energy consumption partly stems from the intermediary effect of agricultural finance on economic development level(or urbanization rate)and agricultural land use carbon emissions.Moreover,taking the level of economic development as the threshold variable and the financial strength of supporting agriculture as the core explanatory variable,there is a single threshold effect on the carbon emissions of urban residents’ living energy consumption,and there is a double threshold effect on rural residents.According to the results of empirical research,four policy suggestions are put forward:(1)to improve the industrial structure and rationally distribute the secondary industry.(2)to reasonably promote urbanization and encourage the development of small and medium-sized counties.(3)to increase financial support for agriculture and improve the agricultural structure.(4)to guide residents to economize on living energy consumption in an all-round and multiple way.