Spatial And Temporal Analysis Of The Coupling And Coordination Relationship Between Circular Economy And Tourism

As an emerging economic development model,circular economy has become the main economic theory to promote the sustainable development of human economy,society,resources and environment,and has also become the most important economic development model in many countries.At present,due to the excessive consumption of resources and ecological environment problems caused by the rapid development of China’s economy,it has seriously affected the healthy development of the national economy.Therefore,the country began to integrate the circular economy theory into the national economic development strategy since 2000.Due to the transformation of my country’s economic development mode,it will promote the high-quality development of my country’s ecological economy.Circular economy takes into account the greatest interests of economic and social development,and realizes the sustainable development of economy,society,resources and ecological environment,and tourism is also an important industry to promote sustainable development.Therefore,the coordinated development of circular economy and tourism The common goal is to realize rational utilization of tourism resources,and realize mutual promotion and coordination between tourism economic activities,natural resources and environment based on the theory of circular economy.This paper selects the cities along the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal as the research area,selects the relevant indicators of circular economy and tourism in 18 cities along the line to construct an evaluation index system,and uses the entropy method to measure the comprehensive development index of circular economy and tourism.The GM(1,1)prediction model analyzes the development level of circular economy and tourism in cities along the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal,the coordination relationship between the two,and predicts the coordinated development trend of circular economy and tourism,and draws the following conclusions:(1)The development level of circular economy.In terms of time,the development level of circular economy in the cities along the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal shows an increasing trend,and the development level of circular economy is evolving towards a high level of development;in terms of space,the level of circular economy between cities shows a large spatial difference,generally showing a southern pattern > The spatial development pattern of central > northern.(2)The level of tourism development.In terms of time,the development level of tourism in the cities along the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal has shown an upward trend,but the level of tourism development has declined slightly from 2012 to 2014;in terms of space,the spatial difference in the level of tourism development between cities is small,and the overall appearance of the central >South>The spatial development pattern of the north,in 2019,most cities have entered a medium-high development level,and only Wuxi City is at a low development level.(3)Coordinate the level of development.In terms of time,from 2009 to 2019,the degree of coupling and coordination between circular economy and tourism in the cities along the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal has been continuously improved,and the type of coupling and coordination has evolved from reluctant coordination to good coordination.It has been upgraded from the initial stage to the running-in stage and the high-level coupling development stage;spatially,the spatial differences in the coupling coordination degree of the cities along the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal from 2009 to 2019 are small,and the coupling coordination level is changing from imbalanced or barely coordinated to well-coordinated.With the transformation,the degree of coordinated development of circular economy and tourism has been continuously improved,and the degree of coupling and coordination between the two has been continuously enhanced,and is gradually developing towards a better coordinated level.(4)Predictive analysis of coupling coordination level.In the 10-year period from2020 to 2029,the level of coupled and coordinated development of cities along the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal is relatively optimistic.Except for Zhenjiang City,where the level of coupled and coordinated development has fluctuated and changed,other cities have shown a trend of continuous improvement.In 2029,along the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal The overall level of coupling and coordinated development of the city is high-quality coordination,and the whole city has entered the stage of high-level coupling and coordination.