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Research Of Electricity Market And Short Term Generation Schedules Based On Multi-Agent And Petri Net Theories

Posted on:2006-05-15Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:J YuFull Text:PDF
GTID:1102360182469128Subject:Systems analysis and integration
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The reform of the electricity market rises vigorously worldwide, bringing the enormous economic benefits to the society, and impels the research field of the power system to produce the numerous new subjects for researchers. It has significant and realistic meanings to explore the developing direction of the reform of electric market in China, to carry on theory analysis and model the electricity market suitable for China. To probe into a suitable electricity market mode for China's reform development, we must draw lessons from other countries'reform experience. After analyzing the modes of electricity market that have already been set up abroad, combined with research results of the modes of electric market in the world, the electricity market could be categorized as: vertical monopoly, competitive generation, transmitting open, transmitting and distribution open electricity market. Each type of electricity market has different demands for power resource distribution situation, power grids construction state and power consumption demands. Because China is vast in territory, rapid in its economic development and unbalanced in the development degree in different areas, no modes of electricity market theoretically defined can completely meet the demands of China electricity market reform. According to the current developing situation of China electricity market, including the power resource, power grids and market demand in China, etc., it is easy to draw the conclusion that the China electricity market will, within a certain period of time, be in a state where all modes of market coexist. That is to say, some areas with satisfied conditions may take the leads in setting up a regional electricity market, which would be characterized as the transmission open or even transmission and distribution open mode in the electricity market, while in other most areas a transition or reform will be carried out from vertical monopoly mode to competitive generation open mode. Since the coexisting state of many kinds is a necessary step during development, setting up the electricity market of the transmission and distribution open mode, namely retail electricity market, in the area where economy is highly developed and power grids are perfect in construction and other essential requirements are met, must become the direction of development. The electricity market has always been regarded domestically and internationally as one of the pioneering issues in the science of complicacy and cross discipline, because of the complicated system composed of electricity market interweaves with various kinds of extremely complicated reflection between physical and information flows; in addition, due to limitation on people's understanding of complicated essence of electricity market, the modeling research of the electricity market has become a very complicated and challenging work. A lot of traditional research approaches used in past has now limited further research in laboratory and achievement application in market, so they no longer meet the needs of new research projects completely; therefore, it is necessary to seek new research approaches and means from new developing field and cross discipline. With a rise in distributed artificial intelligence, the theory of Multi-Agent system (MAS) was born and developed rapidly, which has offered a kind of effective method for the research in modeling electricity market because of its flexibility, intelligence, self-adaptation and self-learning, etc. Thus, the author in this study has introduced MAS and developed a new model for retail electricity market including four kinds of agents, which are the power exchanges company agent (PXA), independent power plant agent (IPPA), retail company agent (RCA) and power user agent (PUA). The trade course of this modeled market is completed through their coordination, cooperation and competition among the agents. We for the first time use the colored Petri-net in the present study to describe and analyze communication, coordination and competition as well as cooperation among the agents, which has effectively expressed their complicated coupling relations and interaction mechanism among the agents in market members and solved the problem concerning the view of MAS relations that is difficult to complete for general flow chart. This model of retail electricity market, which has utilized the agents abundantly to model the characteristics of market member, can accurately reflect the complex environments in the electricity market through colored Petri net and avoid the difficulty occurring often in developing accurate mathematics model by using classical research approach. This model also has considered the mutual opening and privacy during their communication among market members by designed colored token. In the meantime, this model can control the market scale by setting the quantity of the agents in the market member and provide theoretical foundation and artificial analytical method for an ideal market looking for"effective competition ". This model also possesses a very important value for their application in industry, because of the merging of MAS mechanism existed in colored Petri-net, which results in development of distributed computer system easily In addition, the study of short-term generation has been being a focus in academy and engineering since it can bring remarkable economic benefits to power industry. However, new environment in electricity market provides a new thought for solving the problem on short-term generation, which includes: 1). The electricity is no longer optimized and distributed by central dispatcher, but is the goods traded in the electricity market; 2). The traded contents not only include the generated electricity, but also the reserve capacity that will be a part of the trade; 3).the price of electricity is no longer unalterable, which will be affected by electricity demand in market, and the power plants can adjust their generation schedules according to the changed price of electricity. This new thought can be called profit-based short-term generation schedules (PSGS). Under PSGS, market operating system will force market members to participate in the trade competition actively and self-consciously, which will result in a variable capacity of generation and reservation and thus increase unexpected factors in short-term generation problem greatly. For better solving PSGS problem, adapting to new environment in retail market of electricity and distributing traditional centralized optimization and concentrated dispatching problem to the units at the basic level, in this study we have developed a profit-base short-term generation schedules Multi-Agent system (PSGS-MAS) based on artificial intelligence by using MAS to solve PSGS problem. This system can automatically complete formulation, decision and assessment on generation plan through self-adaptation, self-education and cooperation of the agents. The agent can learn experience from historical operations and reduce the unnecessary visit route, thus using this system can shorten calculating time and improve the efficiency on systematic optimization decision. This method has provided a brand-new research approach and implementing means for the similar problem occurred in generation schedules. During developing PSGS-MAS, the decision made by the agent through a core of decision-maker, organization of Agent –Mobile Agent (MA), is even more similar to the human thinking mode, which may make possible to avoid spoiling the ship for a halfpennyworth of tar. The instance analysis has demonstrated that the method based on therule is an effective means to improve Agent intelligence, which also will enhance the operation performance of the whole system. In short-term generation schedule problem, large-scale unit commitment is a focal and difficult point. The problem is because of logic disturbances from complex constraints, which always results in an unexpected or controversial outcome. Therefore, by adjusting our research work starting from reconstructing high dimensions to low dimensions, we have proposed a method named multilayer controllable colored Petri-net (MCCP) and offered an effective optimize method and means for the similar commitment problem in power system generation and distribution by utilizing MCCP to model various kinds of complicate constraints in unit commitment problem and to describe intricate restraint terms in ocular chart way. To best our knowledge, most of the theories and methods are for the first time applied in this research work. Theoretical analysis with simulation results has demonstrated that the theory of Multi-Agent and Petri-net possesses wide prospects in the research fields relevant electricity market and will bring remarkable economic benefits.
Keywords/Search Tags:electricity market, short-term generation schedule, Multi-Agent, colored Petri net, unit commitment, complex constraints
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