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Study Of Military POL Service Command Decision Model

Posted on:2009-11-27Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:G Q DingFull Text:PDF
GTID:1116360272975328Subject:Technical Economics and Management
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The accuracy and time effect of the POL service in future informational war make a challenge to our traditional POL service command and decision mode. Our POL service theory is mainly qualitative study and quantitative study is in the first phase. Whether we can realize the transformation of qualitative study to quantitative study, increase the accuracy and time effect of the POL service, prepare the POL well for the current"anti-Taiwan-independence"military strive, the study of the POL command and decision model becomes an important problem urgently be solved at present. With POL service action being the study object and building quantitative decision model being the main aim, the study of the POL command and decision model is the theoretical base of realizing informational POL service command and decision, and also is a application study task awaiting deepening and widening which has important practical and theoretical meaning in military.In order to inflect the study process of the POL service command and decision model completely, the thesis mainly does research from five aspects combining with the POL service flow during a battle:①the optimized model study of military POL service demand forecast"Precise service"is the demand of future informational war which our present traditional mode of"store too much in the first"hasn't meet. So, forecasting military POL need is the key point of increasing the POL service ability. The gray forecast model, neural networks forecast model and combined forecast model based on vector angle cosine, which are built in the thesis adequately combine the characteristics of military POL consuming, and proved to be effective to solve the problems of forecasting of military POL need.②the optimized model study of military POL layoutScientific and rational distribution can shorten the time of POL transportation, save cost, and then increase the time effect of POL service, bring remarkable military and economic benefit. It has great instructional effect for the POL service of future integrated war. Combining with our military POL service actuality and based on future anti-Taiwan-independence campaign, the thesis builds oil-warehouse layout model, military POL depot distribution model and oil-warehouse location choosing. At the same time, the models are applied in practice. ③the optimized model study of military POL transportationPOL transportation is the ligament which connecting POL collecting, storing, providing and filling. As a very important factor of POL service, POL transportation is not only related to the forming and releasing of the continuous service ability of POL system, but also brings great influences to the forming and the whole service ability of the POL system. The military POL transportation is mainly emphasized on military benefit which is ultimately different. According to the possible instance during wartime, the author firstly builds POL transportation fuzzy programming through improving the traditional confirmed model. Secondly, the thesis builds the model of single oil-warehouse with finite oil transportation vehicles. At last, the thesis builds model of transportation route optimized. Every model is applied in practice.④the optimized model study of strategic support POL serviceAccording to the background of anti-Taiwan-independence, when the POL depot of the first and second level cannot meet the need, it is necessarily to carry out strategic support. In order to improve the ability of strategic support POL service and realize the target of effective service, the thesis build optimized models of military strategic rear base support POL service and society oil resource support in according to possible two instances in wartime. Every model is applied in practice.⑤research in POL support command decision system design and exploit According to the requirement of the informational war to POL support command decision system, Introducing Multi-agent technique into POL transportation command system can assort with navy, army, air force and other arm's POL support entity dynamically. It can also satisfy the future POL support demand in the information-based war. Therefore, Multi-agent technique has important application value in POL support field. Firstly, encapsulate the optimized forecast requirement's model, the optimized POL storage position's model, the optimized transportation's model and the optimized strategic patronized POL support's model based in agent. Secondly, bring forward the detailed thought in exploiting the POL support command intelligent decision system.The major innovations of the paper:①The innovation of POL service theory system is made. The transformation in the information-based war requires higher accuracy in POL support command. But my army is at a primary moment in research of modeling the POL support as the reason of lack of successful experience in the POL support of the information-based war. The thesis firstly puts forward to the study of POL service model. The study is important military significance in improving the accuracy of POL service in the informational war. The paper based in the anti-independence of Taiwan designs the corresponding POL support command chains, sets up the model system in POL support command, bring forward the detailed thought in exploiting the POL support command decision system based on multi-agent. The innovation of POL service theory is realized.②The oil transportation is the most important tache of POL support command chain in wartime. Its fail or success refers to the release of POL service system ability. The paper analyzes the characteristic of oil transportation in wartime. Aiming at firstly improving military effect and secondly improving economic benefit, the paper firstly builds fuzzy programming model through modifying traditional oil transportation based on the fuzzy and dynamic trait of oil transportation. Secondly, the paper sets up model of single oil warehouse supporting the army, designs the corresponding genetic algorithm. At last, the paper sets up guide lines of evaluating transportation path based on the trait of oil transportation in wartime, builds optimized model of appraising oil transportation path based on fuzzy triangle figure superior to traditional appraising model, and the model is better in the person of commander's intention, presses close to the requirement of the real war.③Aiming at the difficulties in the exploitation of the POL support command intelligent decision system of the island mode and chimney mode, the problems is appeared.1) The software's cooperation and integration is very difficult for the system is exploited by different programmer and adopting different exploiting flat.2)The POL support problem becomes very complex for the war is unpredicted, such as choosing oil resource and dynamic service circumstance. The paper has set up the POL support command model which automatically adapts different war-circumstance based on agent and multi-agent theory. The paper firstly packs requirement forecasting model, oil layout model, oil transportation model and oil strategic support model as single agent. The paper designs the frame of POL service command decision system based on multi-agent, sets up the solving process of POL service problem based on multi-agent, builds model of POL service command decision system. The study provides a new way for exploiting POL service command decision system.
Keywords/Search Tags:POL support requirement forecasting, oil allotment and transportation, strategic support oil service, multi-agent, command decision system
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