Researches On Social Risk Management Of Unexpected Events Of China In Transition

Nowadays, the world has been into risk society, in the course of transformation, China is during high incidence of risk time. This thesis revolves only social risk problem of unexpected events, the center is social risk management. This thesis applies many research approaches, such as materialist dialectics, systematic analysis, deduction analysis, case analysis, empirical analysis and so on, probes into the cause mechanism and profound source of Chinese social risk of unexpected events in transition, provides overall train of thought and countermeasure suggestions for social risk management of unexpected events in our country, and builds forewarning norms system and management system from management discipline perspective.This thesis is divided into five parts: The first part mainly elaborates choosing background, the research status at home and abroad, main questions and meaning of research, definition of related concepts, research train of thought and theory basis. The second part makes inspection from many perspectives and probes into source of Chinese social risk of unexpected events in transition. The third part refers to experience of social risk management in advanced country. The forth part is research innovation of Chinese social risk management of unexpected events in transition. The fifth part designs forewarning norms system of Chinese social risk in transition, and builds its social risk management system.This thesis inspects social risk of unexpected events from many perspectives. First, it analyses four major kinds of risk, which are natural calamities problem, accidental disasters problem, public hygiene problem, social securities problem, the four major kinds of problem include by large faced social risk in China at present. Second, the thesis analyses current five major kinds of group prone to social risk, which are suffered interests loss group, which have difficult in getting a job, social rectified group, "trouble traders" and "trouble officials", the old, weak, ill and wounded marginal group, analyses three major kinds of social loss, which are social panic, social scar, social disorder. Last, the thesis analyses six major characters of social risk, which are complication is strengthening, majority is from the inside, man-made is obvious, norms are distinctive, giving vent is major, hazard is increasing. Through above studies, the thesis probes into risk sorts of unexpected events, risk group, social loss and characters of social risk, it is attribute to enhance the target and validity of social risk management of unexpected events.This thesis probes into the source of Chinese social risk of unexpected events in transition. It maintains that power getting out of control is the politic factor that causes social risk, rights and interests being out of balance is the law factor, morality losing standards is the moral factor, control losing validity is the management factor, ecology imbalance is the ecological factor. Looking into these aspects, the thesis provides basis for designing forewarning norms system of social risk of unexpected events and building management system, it is also the precondition of countermeasure research for social risk management of unexpected events.unexpected events are different, but social risk management have much in common. This thesis puts forward countermeasure suggestions for the innovation of social risk management of unexpected events on the basis of harmonious China. The first is to insist on scientific development viewpoint, devote great effort to solve social problems causing in the course of developing, such as regional development loses balance, economical and social development lose coordination, human being and natural world can not coexist harmoniously and so on, lessen social risk by getting to its root. The second is to "appropriately place restrictions on the powerful group", "focus expand the middle-ranking group", "vigorously support the disadvantaged group", safeguard society fairness, eliminate social risk from the angle of interests. The third is to enhance the reorganization level of core value, the credit level of social main body, the open level of social class, the growth level of folk organizations, eliminate social risk by soft power. The forth is that according to the total requirement, leaded by Party Committee, in the charge of government, social class cooperation, the public participation, to intensify the force of social risk management of unexpected events from all aspects. On the basis of previous achievements, in combination with the spirit of China's seventeenth Communist Party Congress held in October,2007, the thesis designs "forewarning norms system of social risk", which consists of six 1-grade norms, twelve 2-grade norms, fifty-seven 3-grade norms, and builds management system, which is made up of three subsystems, the forewarning management system, the emergency management system, the aftermath management system. The series of management system can validly monitor the social operating trend by the techniques of simulating the real thing, get foresight judgement and forewarning, put forward countermeasure proposal for reference, provide the basis of scientific decision for persons who make it.