Research On The Relation Between The China's Foreign Trade Structure And The Industrial Structure

Over the years, the industrial structure and trade structure as the two hot issues in the economic field, the respective domestic and foreign scholars have made a lot of research, but for the relationship between the two is still rare, the theoretical system is not mature. Therefore, the paper selected China trade structure and industrial structure as the main object of study, hoping to break long will the situation between the two separated for the study of trade structure and industrial structure to provide a new starting point and theoretical platform.This article first main line theory of comparative advantage, re-combing of the trade structure of the formation and conversion factors; and summarizes the impact of industrial structure and its evolution with the determining factor on the basis of law, clearly outlines the trade structure and industrial structure linkage mechanism, which is innovation of this paper. Full Jiegou divided into five parts, constituted by the six chapters, including: introduction, trade structure and industrial structure and the linkage mechanism of the theoretical basis, China's trade structure and industrial structure in a situation, China's trade structure and industrial structure Empirical study, lagging behind China's trade structure, the main reason for the development of industry structure analysis and the realization of China's trade structure and industrial structure interaction Choice.Part I Introduction to Chapter 1, describes the background and significance of thesis research, at home and abroad on trade structure and industrial structure of the literature review, and the main logic of this study, analytical framework, research methods, the main innovation and research is inadequate.Chapter 2 The second part is the theory of comparative advantage as the main line, re-combing of the trade structure of the formation and conversion factors; and summarizes the impact of industrial structure and the evolution of law and Determinants Based on the structure and to explore trade the industrial structure of the linkage mechanism. Consists of three sections, the first and second sections describe the formation and transformation of trade structure and industrial structure of the decision factors and the evolution of law theory. Section III focuses on the trade structure and industrial structure and the linkage between the development of the state mechanism. This section is the theoretical basis of this study, the reason behind the analysis of empirical testing and theoretical groundwork to do.The third part of the shift of China's foreign trade structure and industrial structure specification and empirical study, including two chapters 3,4. Chapter 3 is one of China's trade structure and industrial structure evolution and current situation of normative analysis: analysis of China's true position in the international division of labor, industry, competitive conditions and the structure and industrial structure of China's trade problems, pointed out that China's trade structure and industrial structure of two much-needed medical treatment as a "chronic illness" need to be solved! Chapter 4 is China's trade structure and industrial structure of the empirical study consists of two sections: the first is the trade structure and industrial structure in China to develop relations of the empirical study of China's trade structure were developed in the industrial structure and lags behind advanced development in two different phases of the industrial structure, China's trade structure obtained generally consistent with the development of the industrial structure, but the short-term (local) lags behind the performance of the industrial structure of the conclusions. As the "structure" is a dynamic process, so this chapter Section and structural changes of China's trade and industrial structure changes is relevant to do empirical testing. Cointegration theory found by: China's import and export trade structure and industrial structure exists only between the small positive relationship between long-term stability; of the three tests for Granger causality, the results showed that the Chinese change of industrial structure and import and export trade structure changes in single causal relationship exists only between, the industrial structure changes in export structure change is due to Granger, changes in import structure is the result of the industrial structure changes Granger; the other hand, is not true. To further analyze the import and export structure and industrial structure changes the dynamic relationship between changes. This and the use of impulse response and variance decomposition of the three measurement methods such as further in depth. The results showed that: first, changes in industrial structure, almost from its own, up to 99.46%, imports from other parts of the structure had no effect on its export structure; from the fifth start, the industrial structure of the contribution of their own stable at 75.5 %, while the contribution of the structure of imports increased, and reached the highest value in the third period of 15.71%, then stabilized at around 14.7%. The export structure from the beginning of the second contribution of the industrial structure began to appear, starting from the marked increase in the fourth and fifth after the contribution from the stable at 9.78% or so. This Cointegration test in front of basically the same. Therefore, can be drawn: a long time, changes in industrial structure in China is more a contribution from their own; and structural changes in import and export trade in boosting the role of the industrial structure is very limited, especially in the export structure of China's industrial structure change enhance the role is very weak.The fourth part is the thesis in Chapter 5 of China's industrial structure and trade structure lags behind the development of the main reasons for doing in-depth analysis, and it includes three sections. This part is a combination of the theoretical part of the front, that of (decision) trade structure and industrial structure, content and other related factors, respectively, from domestic supply and demand factors, China's foreign trade and industrial policy factors, and factors of foreign direct investment in the aspects of of its structure and industrial structure of China's trade relations. As a long time, China's factor endowments and the constraints of the fact that insufficient domestic demand, making China's economy has long been over-reliance on external demand (ie exports). This "export-oriented" implementation of the strategy of foreign trade as well as the "processing trade" as the leading foreign trade, and a long time, the government on the domestic capital and technology-related industries such as over-protection is the trade structure and industrial structure to a certain extent One of the important reasons for distortion! In addition, the reform and opening up, China has attracted substantial foreign direct investment. Foreign direct investment on China's trade structure and industrial structure of the dislocation development to some extent also played a role in fueling!The fifth part is the last chapter of achieving China's trade structure and industrial structure interaction Choice. This section points out the realization of China's trade structure and industrial structure interaction should establish the principles of the New Open, view of the market economy principles, the principle of the generalized concept of comparative advantage and division of labor, the new concept of competition principles. Should also be taken into account the conditions of domestic technology, institutional environment, technology innovation and resources, the environment constraints. Finally, China's trade policy should be proposed and industrial policy coherence, that is, the development of foreign trade policy should be based on upgrading the industrial structure and upgrading of industrial structure should be based on "dynamic comparative advantage" anchored, and other policy proposals.