The Studies Of Our Country's Software Industry Development And Countermeasure

In our country, new high-tech industry, especially software industry, is also the new industry. It's only more than ten years since it began to develop rapidly. In this text we make exhaustive description about the software industry of our country .At the same time, we compare and analyze all respects of our country's software industry with quantitative and qualitative analysis methods. We want to seek the development strategy of the software industry of our country and develop the measure by view of the above. (A) Basic academic summary of software industry By combined with the level in the computer system, the software is generally divided into system software, support software and application software. The software industry is the summation of all relevant economic activities and relations with software product and software serving. Software product mainly has some character, such as, uncertainty of development model, dependence of industry's advantage, competition of market environment, lead and support of industrial policy etc. Furthermore software product drives the upgrading of social industrial structure, improves the labor productivity and economic benefits by a large margin. As the soul of new high-tech industry, software industry's function is not only lying in that it is a foundation stone of the digitization and information-based tide, but also lying in that it owns high development characteristic, which produces to other drive and infiltration function of new high-tech industry, thus stimulates the development of national economy and becomes new growth engines. At the same time, the development of the software industry can give traditional industry and agriculture and service industry deep influence and change, which can solve these trade 'bottleneck' restrictions in economic development. Further thus can promote the development of these trades. Therefore the role of software industry in various countries' social economy is very important (B)The current situation and characteristic of the international software industry American software enterprises have mainly three kinds of modes. One is the mode of Silicon Valley. Some software enterprises come into existence only for that it can be bought by big company such as the Microsoft in the future,so it researches and develops the patch of part or defective part that the products of big company are deficient emphatically. Second is the mode of market guides. Some software enterprises develop the products according to the demand and blank while using, which needs very strong market impetus. Third is the mode of integrate and sell. Some enterprises sell in market, offer the solution and integrate every function of software product. In the past two years,Indian software industry has undergone serious challenge because of international economic depression, policy turbulence and IT industry increase slowing down etc. Even so,Indian software industry is still the industry who is the fastest industry in own country. Make a general survey of the state of development of the Indian software industry. Its successful reasons mainly focus on talents' development strategy, software center construction, development policies,development risk investment, strict quality level, association of software industry status and function,etc. In addition,the software industry of Irish has already developed into one of the pillar industries of this country's economy. The software industries of Korea S. and Japan mainly concentrate on the products that correlate with localization,such as word processing,education,amusement,financial affairs,ERP and some special-purpose fields. Especially the network game software of Korea S. has wide market space. The development of the software industry of our country should fully summarize the development experience of the above-mentioned countries of software industry. (C) The current situation and characteristic of software industries of our country The software industry of our country has already entered steady rise period since it has undergone nearly more than ten years of development. The softwaremarket has fostered the wide growth space in recent years whit growing up rapidly. The national software industry continued keeping growing at a top speed in 2002,which scale expanded rapidly. There were two aspects: one was that the teams of software industry were strengthened rapidly; the other is that the scale of incomes of software industry increases rapidly. In 2003, the software market of China had some fluctuant experiences in the same time the software enterprises went through many tests. In 2003, the sales of software market amounted to more than 399.6 hundred –billion Yuan, which was 115.8% times than the sales of 2002 year. But the increase rate had descending. The structure of China's software industry tends has began to go towards optimizing gradually. Industry system takes shape tentatively. The center of market tends towards application. The sufficient supply of product pushes market increasing. The shortage of the solution restricts information-based paces. Linux researches and development are focused on again. The online security continues intensifying. The network application opportunity is shown especially. The consumption market prospects are limitless. There are some development characteristics of the software industry of our country. The first is the scale of national software industry is strengthened rapidly. The second is that industry of different economic types software enterprises coexist, but inner capital enterprises are more than others. The third is that the industrial structure of the software is unreasonable. The forth is that the area of software industry development is obviously different. The fifth is that the domestic software is developed very fast, but the development ability of the systems soft ware is weak. Last,the development space is wide in the future. First of all,state policies encourage the software industry to develop. Secondly,the market demand growth rate will be improved to some extent. Moreover, the expenses will get effective control. There are some matters of the Chinese software industry. 1. The software industry increases very fast, but the whole scale is not big. 2. Scope of the enterprise's smallness, shortage of the software person, absence of the key technology are still the bottleneck, which restrains the development of Chinese software industry. 3. Domestic software enterprise's export capacity is very weak.4.There are obstacles in the implementation of the industrial policy of the national software. 5.IT education is relatively weak. The software is serious in brain drain. So,development'key of the software industry of our country lies in the mode selection of strategic development of software industry of our country,which needs to set up the policy environment of good industry development and pay attention to training IT talents with creativity synthetically. (D)Function on economic development of our country of software industry As the central software industry of information industry,it has already become the extremely important strategic industry in national economy of various countries.The engineering level of the software industry and industry's scale become an important sign of national overall national strength and modernized degree,and these two points concern economic development,social progress and national security of a country directly. 1.Comparing according to software industry with data of information industry,we can find out that the software output value's small change will cause information industry output value's heavy change.Trend of SOFT/INFO increase year by year can see software industry status among information industry promotion progressively;the software industry will play a role in holding the balance in the information industry. 2. Coefficient correlation R of software industry and GDP is 0.9798,which obviously means GDP and output value of software industry have strong dependence. 3.The information industry promotes the economic growth;the proportion in GDP is strengthened year by year too. If calculate with the total amount of information industry,regard year as independent variable X (set initial year as 1,it will be 2,3 respectively in year)and take the ratio of the value of information industry and GDP as variable Y,we analyze with regressing method and receive the following return equation: Y = -3.55 + 1.58X[AR (1)=0.73] (2.90) (3.63) R 2 =0.97 F =120.13 D. W =1.80 The proportion of 2004 ,2005 and 2006 will separately reach to18.57%,20.15%,21.73%. 4. According to the trend analysis of our country's software industry,software industry output value form belongs to the curve appear non-linear. We set up the trend model of two times: Use LS to carry on the parameter and estimate,gets: software = 375. 15?71.5time+45.13time2 R 2 =0.995 D. W .=2.09 We predict and get the output value of the software industry of our country of the following three-year with the trend model of two times.The gross output value of the software industry of our country will exceed 200 billion in 2004,if we continue keeping the momentum well like this,the output value of the software industry of our country will reach 330 billion Yuan by 2006. 16002000240028003200360040002004 2005 2006SOFTWAREF 2004—2006年我国软件产业产值的预测值 5. By analyzing according to the contrast of the software industry and relevant employee of quantity,we know that software industry change of output value cannot cause software change of employee. At the same time the increase of employees of software industry cannot stimulate the increase of the output value of software industry. Say too,the development of the Chinese software industry depends on the technology,experience of management more at present. India developed software industry proved this. The 16th National Congress of Communist Party of China establishes the software = β0 +β1time+β2time2+μstratagem of using information to promote industrialization and promoting the information with industrialization. It is strategic to take the country of the new-type industrialized road. The software industry concerns the economic development,social progress and national security of a country directly as the core of the information industry; it is an important sign of national overall national strength and modernized degree too. It is the inevitable choice of taking the new-type industrialized road to develop the software industry in a more cost-effective manner. On the other hand,information,industrialized developments play an enormous role to the software trade. (E)Countermeasure research that the software industry of our country develops Make a general survey of development process of software industry; world software big countries have all successfully fought out one suitable path for development. In the face of the fierce market competition of software industry and innovative paces accelerated day by day, we must proceed from the realities of our country. In this road, we should maximize favorable factors and minimize unfavorable ones and open up the new footpath separately. Take the development path of software industry suitable for the China's actual conditions. 1.Stress policy continuity and hold out the software enterprises development 2. Confirm the development plan of the national software; set up and amplify the national software and research and develop and call for bid. 3.Strengthen human quality management; effectively expanding the scale of the software enterprises 4.Confirm the key field; expanding the domestic software popularized 5.Pay attention to information construction; change the situation of traditional industry's extensive operation 6.Optimize the structure of talent; pay attention to the software industry's shutting type talents'education and cultivation 7.Pay attention to the diffidence of territory; optimize the build of software center 8.Pay attention to industry's technology relationship; promote the coordinated development in new high-tech industry.