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Econometric Analysis On The Relationship Between Social Welfare And Economic Development

Posted on:2020-03-06Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:X J LiFull Text:PDF
GTID:1366330572464990Subject:Management Science
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Since the founding of new China,especially after the reform and opening up,with the continuous improvement of China's economic and social development level,the social security system construction and development have made a series of achievements for all to see,and the overall social welfare level is changing with each passing day.At present,the construction and development of China's social security system has entered a "fast track",and there has been considerable progress and development in terms of system coverage,fund raising,treatment level and management service,etc.,but the corresponding social security system lacks scientific top-level design,social security level is not fair and efficiency is not high,and the social security system management responsibility is not clearly defined,and other issues are still prominent,hindering the continuous improvement and improvement of the overall social welfare level.At the same time,as an important part of social welfare,the old-age insurance and medical security system not only lags behind the economic development in the top-level design of the system,but also has its own fairness and efficiency is difficult to achieve.In the face of the coming population peak and the stage of deep aging,based on the achievements made and the existing problems,the current stage of the multi-level social security system to achieve the continuous improvement of the overall level of social welfare,is bound to be a relatively complex social system engineering.Based on the dynamic changes of China's economic and social development situation,this paper analyzes the carrying capacity of social welfare in China at the present stage.Meanwhile,it USES China's macroeconomic data to discuss the internal linkage between social and economic development and social welfare level.It is an important basis for improving the evaluation criteria and basis for the construction and development of a multi-level social security system.This paper analyzes and discusses the coordination level between social welfare and economic development in China at the present stage.It mainly focuses on the definition and measurement of social welfare level,as well as the social welfare carrying capacity of economic development.Taking the old-age care and medical security,which are the core and foundation of the current social welfare system,as the main representative,it analyzes and evaluates the coordination degree between economic development and social welfare level in China at the present stage,and proposes solutions to existing problems.The main research content of this article is summed up in the following six aspects:First,the construction and development of China's social welfare system review and evaluation.From the stage of social welfare development,it can be divided into three stages.The first stage was the planned economy period(1949-1948),which was mainly the initial establishment period of China's social welfare system.The second stage was the initial stage of reform and opening up(1979-2000),a period of reform and new development of the social welfare system.The third stage is the period of comprehensive development(since 2000),the period of social welfare system construction that comprehensively improves people's livelihood,especially after the 18th national congress of the communist party of China,and the new era of social welfare system construction that integrates urban and rural areas and covers all areas.However,the current social welfare system in our country still faces two basic issues,the unbalance and overall coordination.Second,the definition and measurement of social welfare level.After analyzing the connotation and basic characteristics of social welfare,education expenditure,medical and health expenditure,social security and employment expenditure,as well as housing security expenditure are selected as the main content of social welfare level measurement.Three indicators of the overall level of social welfare are constructed.The indicators of the overall level of social welfare measured by different methods all show the same trend.However,China is still faced with the challenges of deep aging on the basis of a large population and the demand diversification under the background of increasing level of economic and social development.Third,the social welfare carrying capacity analysis of economic development.Firstly,principal component analysis is used to measure the comprehensive level of economic development in different provinces of China.Secondly,based on the concept of carrying capacity of ecological environmental protection,the social welfare carrying capacity of economic development is defined,and the social welfare level growth rate and social welfare carrying capacity index of different regions and regions in China in different periods and from 2012 to 2016 are calculated.The results show that the vast majority of regions are in a state of stable and sustained economic growth,and there is still significant scope for the improvement of social welfare level.However,the widespread volatility in various regions and the heavy burden of social welfare in a few regions such as northeast China cannot be ignored.Fourth,the empirical analysis of the relationship between economic development and endowment insurance level.According to the basic situation of social welfare system construction and development in China at present,the most core endowment insurance is selected for research.A macroscopic theoretical model of economic development and endowment insurance was built by overlapping generations model,and the relationship between them was empirically studied based on VAR model.The research results can be summarized as follows:first,there is a one-way causal relationship between the level of economic development and basic endowment insurance.Second,there is a two-way influence between the basic endowment insurance and the proportion of the elderly population.Third,the current level of economic development has played a role in promoting the growth of basic endowment insurance expenditure,and the development of basic endowment insurance also shows the effect of economic growth.Fifth,econometric analysis of the impact of economic development on the level of medical security.Medical security is also an important part of the current social welfare system,but it is different from other security projects such as endowment insurance.Starting from the influence mechanism of economic development on medical security level,this paper analyzes the influence of economic development level on medical security demand,medical security supply and medical security system,and clarifies the important influence of economic development on medical security.Then,from the "health expense level","human resources for health level" and "medical insurance system development"three aspects to the empirical analysis,the results showed that economic development has a significant impact on medical security level,per capita output growth and upgrade of industrial structure to promote the medical security level of ascension,but open to the public and the influence of health care expenditure for medical security level is uncertain.Sixth,the countermeasure research of improving the coordination degree between economic development and social welfare.According to the present stage our country economy development and social welfare level of the relationship between theoretical analysis and empirical test and analysis results are extended,first put forward should follow the government leading,moderate development and share the three aspects of basic principles,for endowment insurance and level,proposed to speed up the integration of the basic endowment insurance system,perfecting the multi-level old-age security system and enhance the level of endowment insurance fund management improve social endowment insurance level three countermeasures of coordination degree.Finally,according to the level of medical security,this paper puts forward three countermeasures to improve the coordination degree of social medical security level:increasing the financial investment in medical security,accelerating the reform of medical and health system and improving the integration of basic medical insurance.The innovation points of this paper mainly include the following three aspects:First,put forward the overall level of social welfare and to measure the level of economic development,selected the expenditure on education,health care spending,spending social security and employment,and housing security as the main content of the social welfare level measurement,built three for indicators of overall level of social welfare measures,and to our country the overall level and the level of economic development of the social welfare measure,to scientifically measure the present stage our country social welfare provides a quantitative basis.Second,although "adapting to the level of social and economic development" has become a universal standard for the construction of social security system and the development and improvement of social welfare level,but such adaptability often lacks objective measurement standards and has the basic characteristics of dynamic changes.Based on the measurement method of natural resources carrying capacity,this paper puts forward the concept and measurement method of social welfare carrying capacity under the condition of China's economic development,which provides a theoretical basis for measuring whether China's social welfare carrying capacity is suitable for China's economic development level.Thirdly,it constructs a model to measure the degree of coordination between the level of social welfare and the level of economic development in China,and examines the interaction between the level of social welfare and the level of economic development through the econometric model.By combining theory with demonstration,it provides theoretical and empirical basis for improving the evaluation standards for the construction and development of the multi-level social security system and formulating corresponding social welfare policies.
Keywords/Search Tags:social welfare level, economic development, social welfare carrying capacity, endowment insurance, medical security
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