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Investigation of mesoscale precipitation processes in the Carolinas using a radar-based climatology

Posted on:2007-03-08Degree:Ph.DType:Dissertation
University:North Carolina State UniversityCandidate:Boyles, Ryan PatrickFull Text:PDF
GTID:1440390005466052Subject:Geophysics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The complex topography, shoreline, soils, and land use patterns makes the Carolinas a unique location to study mesoscale processes. Using gage-calibrated radar estimates and a series of numerical model simulations, warm season mesoscale precipitation patterns are analyzed over the Carolinas. Gage-calibrated radar precipitation estimates are compared with surface gage observations. Stage IV estimates generally compared better than Stage II estimates, but some Stage II and Stage IV estimates have gross errors during autumn, winter, and spring seasons.; Analysis of days when sea breeze is observed suggests that sea breeze induced precipitation occurs on nearly 40% of days in June, July, and August, but only 18% in May and 6% of days in April. Precipitation on days with sea breeze convection can contribute to over 50% of seasonal precipitation. Rainfall associated with sea breeze is generally maximized along east-facing shores 10-20 km inland, and minimized along south-facing shores in North Carolina. The shape of the shoreline along Cape Fear is associated with a local precipitation maximum that may be caused by the convergence of two sea breeze fronts from the south and east shores.; Differential heating associated with contrasting soils along the Carolina Sandhills is suggested as a mechanism for enhancement in local precipitation. A high-resolution summer precipitation climatology suggests that precipitation is enhanced along the Sandhills region in both wet and dry years. Analysis of four numerical simulations suggests that contrasts in soils over the Carolinas Sandhills dominates over vegetation contrasts to produce heat flux gradients and a convergence zone along the sand-to-clay transition.; Orographically induced precipitation is consistently observed in the summer, and appears to be isolated along windward slopes at 20km--40km from the ridge line. Amounts over external ridges are generally 50-100% higher than amounts observed over the foothills. Precipitation amounts over interior ridges and valleys are lower than observed on exterior ridges and are similar to values observed over the foothills. When compared with Stage IV estimates, the PRISM (Precipitation-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) method for estimating precipitation in complex terrain appears to largely over-estimate precipitation amounts over the interior ridges.
Keywords/Search Tags:Precipitation, Carolinas, Over, Mesoscale, IV estimates, Stage IV, Sea breeze, Ridges
PDF Full Text Request
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