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Large deviations of a class of non-homogeneous Markov chains

Posted on:2004-06-30Degree:Ph.DType:Dissertation
University:Iowa State UniversityCandidate:Dietz, Zachariah EspeFull Text:PDF
GTID:1460390011973902Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Let Σ = {lcub}1, 2, …, r{rcub} be a finite set of points. Let Pn = {lcub}pn( i, j ) : i, j ∈ Σ{rcub} be an r x r stochastic matrix for n ≥ 1, and p be a distribution on Σ. Let now Pp= Pp&parl0;&cubl0;Pn &cubr0;&parr0; be the (non-homogeneous) Markov measure on the sequence space S with Borel sets B&parl0;S&parr0; corresponding to initial distribution p and transition kernels {lcub}Pn{rcub}.; We now describe the class of non-homogeneous process focused upon in the article. These are the Markov chains where the transition kernels are asymptotically close to a fixed stochastic matrix. Let p be a distribution and P be a stochastic matrix on Σ. Define the collection A=A p,P by A=&cubl0;Pp &parl0;&cubl0;Pn&cubr0;&parr0; :lim n→∞Pn =P&cubr0;. The collection A can be thought of as perturbations of the stationary Markov chain run with P, and is a natural class in which to explore how “non-homogeneity” enters into the large deviation picture.; Let now f : Σ → Rd be a d ≥ 1 dimensional function. Let also Pp&parl0;&cubl0;P n&cubr0;&parr0;∈A&parl0;p, P&parr0; be a “perturbed” non-homogeneous Markov measure. In terms of the coordinate process, define the additive sums Zn = Zn(f) for n ≥ 1 by Zn=1n i=1
    n
f&parl0;Xi&parr0;.
The goal of this paper is to understand the large deviation behavior of the induced distributions of {lcub}Zn : n ≥ 1{rcub} with respect to Pp&parl0;&cubl0;P n&cubr0;&parr0; . An immediate question which comes to mind asks whether these large deviations differ from the deviations with respect to the stationary chain run with P. The general answer found in our work is “yes” and “no,” and as might be suspected depends on the rate of convergence Pn P and the structure of the limit matrix P.; More specifically, when P is an irreducible matrix, it turns out that the large deviation of behavior of {lcub}Zn{rcub} under Pp&parl0;&cubl0;P n&cubr0;&parr0; is exactly that under the stationary chain associated with P no matter the r...
Keywords/Search Tags:Blkbd, Largedeviation, Chain
PDF Full Text Request
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