A Methodology Discussion Of The Politics' Hypothesis

The hypothesis is a main form of scientific development, it is the important way that human understanding close to the objective truth too. For a long time, people have deeper discussions to the natural science hypothesis, but it is obviously insufficient to probe into to social science hypothesis, especially special topic of politics' hypothesis. At present, the theory mode and policies and views of the distinct Chinese characteristics need and call in socialist modernization drive, so, we carry on certain discussion to the politics' hypothesis, which have important theory meaning and realistic meaning. The full text is divided into four major parts altogether.First part summarizes up the politics' hypothesis. The politics' hypothesis is the concrete application and behaving of the hypothesis method concretely in politics or the political science research field in fact, it has such essential features as history, class nature, subjectivity and uncertainty etc.; There are obvious differences in such aspects as research object, research approach and concrete forming process between it and scientific hypothesis.Second part analyses the methodology about the forming of the politics' hypothesis. Although the forming of the politics' hypothesis has not a regular logic pass-way, and has not a general right mechanical procedure, yet according to its real course formed, it will still demonstrate a kind of more steady mode. The forming process of the politics' hypothesis is formed by initial stage and stage of finishing mainly, it is a complicated course imbued with creative, among them, the logic method of inductive inference, deductive inference and analogy reasoning etc.plays a very important role. Investigating the forming process and method of the politics' hypothesis on this basis, the author think that the forming of a scientific and rational politics' hypothesis must follow the scientific evidence principle, principle proceeding from the reality, innovative principle, explanation—state principle, predict — guideline principle and logic consistency principle etc. methodological principle.The third part probes into the testing and appraisal of the politics' hypothesis. No matter confirmation or falsification conclusively, the testing of the politics' hypothesis are all unusually complicated, so we should combine two and then understand them a historical course that must practise repeatedly, and only so we could hold correctly the link of testing in practice of the politics' hypothesis. Because each politics' hypothesis always evolves from certain social environment, it should be tested in the sure social environment too, therefore the testing of the politics' hypothesis, besides must adhere to the standard of practice, must also appeal to the standard of contextual analysis. Finally, the appraisal of the politics' hypothesis means the appraisal of politics' hypothesis feasibility mainly, it refers to logic feasibility of the hypothesis oneself, verifiability of hypothesis and explanation ability and ability of predicting of the hypothesis accordingly.The fourth part is the methodology enlightenment of the politics' hypothesis. The socialist modernization drive of our country needs the theory mode and policies and views of the distinct Chinese characteristics, demands to build the politics' hypothesis of the distinct Chinese characteristics. According to the essential feature of the politics' hypothesis and methodology principle formed, the author think that construction of the politics' hypothesis with the distinct Chinese characteristics must insist on the Marxist guidance position, and regard...