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Study On Properties Of Crovella Estimation For The Heavy Tail Index

Posted on:2007-04-26Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X H ChenFull Text:PDF
GTID:2120360185976979Subject:Operational Research and Cybernetics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The property of power-law behavior in the tail of a distribution has important implications, and plenty of examples from the financial market show that in many practical situations the distributions are heavy-tailed. So the estimation of the tail index for heavy-tailed distributions aroused our concern, many scholars proposed several methods, but all of them have some disadvantages. Crovella presented a method based on the scaling properties of sums of heavy-tailed random variables. It has the advantages of being easy to apply, and of being relatively accurate.In chap 2 of this paper we describe the estimation presented by Crovella, analyze the consistency of the estimator, and prove that the Crovella estimator has strong consistency. In chap 3 of this paper we contrast the Crovella estimator with Hill estimator by stochastic simulation, present evidence that when we estimate the tail index of the Levy-Stable distribution, the Crovella estimator appers to be more accurate than the Hill estimator as the size of the dataset grows, especially for the tail index α close to 2.
Keywords/Search Tags:heavy tails, tail index, Crovella estimator, strong consistency, stochastic simulation
PDF Full Text Request
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