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Third-order Expansion Of Ruin Probability In The Case Of Second-order Regular Variation Tails

Posted on:2008-04-24Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:H L SuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2120360215454771Subject:Operational Research and Cybernetics
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The main purpose of this thesis is to provide more precision expansion of ruinprobability of the insurance company. We obtain the third-order expansion of ruinprobability, so the insurance company can know own compensation ability well.This thesis consists of four chapters as follows. In chapter 1, we mainly introducethe classical risk model and the development of risk theory; we introduce some rela-tive heavy-tail distribution classes and their properties in chapter 2. The third and lastchapter are my research results, first we prove the closeness of second-order regularvariation. Then we assume that the integrated tail distribution function of the claim size(?)(x) is the second-order regular variation function with two parameters-γandθ. Firstwe obtain the third-order expansion of (?)(x), then using Beekman's convolutionformula, we finally get the main result:ψ(u)=(?)(u)/ρ+γ/μρ2·(?)(u)/u EX2-c1a1(u)+c2a2(u)/2μρ2·(?)(u)/u EX2+o(1).
Keywords/Search Tags:Classical risk model, Ruin probability, The integrated distribution function, Second-order regular variation, n-fold convolution
PDF Full Text Request
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