The Method And Research On The Model And Platform Construct About The Earthquake Forecast

After former Soviet Union scholar -Grony discovered the phenomenon that abnormal thermal infrared increment(10.5～12.5μm) before the earthquake in the year of 1988, it became possible to forecast earthquake with remote sensing satellite technique. Using National Centers for Environmental Prediction's data could eliminate the cloud's influence which results we couldn't observe the temperature's change, and it could observe the abnormal temperature's increment effectively. Combining with the celestial tide-generating force computing model, this paper provides a method to extract the period of the celestial tide-generating force, and develop a analysis platform for observing the change of temperature's abnormal increment, it also provides the development's blue print, key technologies and the method of actualizing.This platform is developed by visual C++ language. After extracting the data' format with Grads(Grid Analysis and Display System), then read the data according the format we get and display the temperature in the form of color, so we can watch the abnormal temperature increment directly from the pictures.The abnormal increment of temperature has its own spatial characters, so this platform overlays the grid of longitude and latitude lines on the pictures and add the city, in this form we could realize the spatial analysis of abnormal temperature's increment and satisfy the basical acquirement of observing special faultage's movement.This platform is used to analysis Wen'an and WenChuan Earthquake, the results are as follows :the abnormal temperature increment is obvious, and it matches with the celestial tide-generating force's change in the time domain. The result shows that the platform can satisfy the research's basical acquirement.