Investigation For Guangzhou NO.3 Subway Interval Of Train Base On Monte Carlo Emulation Mode

There are two questions which will be answered in this article. Argumentation of whether No.3 subway running as three cars is feasible; getting the most appropriate interval for trains running as six cars.When the No.3 subway was running as three cars, we could read the news about close- packed train every week and news about accidents caused by the crowded train every month. And at the same time, many experts and government departments discussed very long time for whether added the No.3 subway to six cars, it cost several years. Finally, the government decided that added No.3 subway to six cars except scientific proof by force of Asian games in Guangzhou.In this article, it will analysis the traffic specialty according to the traffic data in No.3 sub way every train station. And then figure out traffic probability distribution of interval in the incremental traffic train stations. It can get the retention rate of visitors using the Monte Carlo emulation mode in the shortest time interval. At last, compare the retention rate of visitors result and the visitors wish. It can proof whether the car number is rational.The No.3 subway runs with six cars in April-28-2010. After running, debugging, and improvement, the every technical guideline is stabilization. In this article, it will analysis the traffic specialty according to the traffic data in No.3 sub way every train station. And then figure out traffic probability distribution of interval in the incremental traffic train stations. It can get the retention rate of visitors using the Monte Carlo emulation mode in equal or greater than the shortest time interval. At last, compare the retention rate of visitors result and the visitors wish. It can get the most appropriate interval for trains.In this article, it develops the Monte Carlo emulation mode. It uses the precision modeling method. It will make that the Monte Carlo emulation mode is more in line with actual events.