The Application Of Forewarning Management Thinking In The Science And Technology Management

With the development of modern society's economy and science and technology(S&T), which make various relevant factors complicated and changeable, the S&T management of our country unavoidably faces more unknown predicaments and pressures, so we urgently need introduce and use scientific and effective management mechanism. However, it is neglected the precaution of fault appears in the S&T management mechanism in our country, which make blindness and fault of S&T behavior aggravate; also make existing mechanism, theory and method of S&T management difficult to generally, objectively, exactly describe and evaluate problems, contradiction and theory puzzlement caused by fast development of S&T. It is difficult for people to deal with various kinds of risks that they are facing or will face. This is shown as not only the tolerance to the inside management contradiction, but also slow or blind reacting to external environment change. However, more and more facts indicate: because the uncertainty of technology and the objective environment and people's limited cognition on this kind of uncertainty, it is really impossible to predict the crisis in S&T management which may cause the S&T management fall into the adverse circumstances. The forewarning S&T management is put forward to the various kinds of theories quandary and realistic problem on S&T management.This paper try to analyze the problem appearing in the S&T management from the point of view of forewarning management and puts forewarning thinking into the frame of S&T management. On the basis of S&T management activity law, this paper preliminary make mechanism and course analysis of S&T management's Cause Formation Mechanism -Evolution Course -Forewarning Controls. This paper try to reveal in favorable circumstance the identifying and defending fault mechanism and in adverse circumstance controlling and solving fault mechanism of the S&T management activity in S&T department's, in order to build the forewarning management system in the S&T managementorganization and control the emergence signs of different fault in S&T management activity. This paper study the source, reason influence of the fault in S&T management and analyses the defending measures to S&T management faults, to make the S&T department be able to predict potential risk and crisis of S&T itself and also in S&T management, then adopt the corresponding countermeasure, guarantee that S&T management activity is on the safe orbit.