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Research On Hydropower Investment Project Risk Evaluation And Index System

Posted on:2006-05-14Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:L Y YinFull Text:PDF
GTID:2166360152989756Subject:Business management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The social and economic benefits of Hydropower Investment Project are great, however, politic, technology, economic, social and environment confined it development. There are a lot of unpredicted and random factors made Hydropower Investment Project risky. So it is meaningful to research on hydropower investment project risk evaluation and index system. From perspective of investment project risk evaluation, first, this thesis used method of system analysis, epagoge, quantitative and qualitative analysis, and used theories of system engineering, project management, risk management, project evaluation. First, by using of uncertain analysis method, system analysis method, multi-angle analysis method and risk factors identification to Hydropower investment project, it defined a list of risk factors and designed a risk evaluation index system of Hydropower investment project. Second, it applied this index system to ShuHe Hydropower investment project of Han River and used the Delphi method and SPSS to select indexes and formed a hierarch risk evaluation model to ShuHe Hydropower investment project of Han River. Finally, it applied fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to ShuHe Hydropower investment project of Han River. It also obtained the weight of index system and classified risk level of the project. Moreover, the value of risk comprehensive evaluation of ShuHe project is achieved and levels of risk are classified. Third, this research proved the index system and the model is correct and applicable. This thesis is an exploration of Hydropower investment project's risk evaluation index system design and positive function of progress to quantitative, scientific and standard of Hydropower investment project's risk evaluation. It provides some references for hydropower investment companies to evaluate project's risk.
Keywords/Search Tags:Hydropower Investment Project, Risk Evaluation, Index System, Analytic Hierarchy Process
PDF Full Text Request
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