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A Probe Into The Three Gorges Reservoir Area's Situation & Factors Of Political Stability

Posted on:2011-01-15Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:C B SongFull Text:PDF
GTID:2166360305981668Subject:Political Theory
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The Three Gorges Project is a century-old Chinese dream, which turns into the reality in 2009. The Three Gorges Project has brought significant benefits of flood control, power generation, navigation, and even in the dry season to achieve replenishment efficiency. However, to benefit from the same time, all kinds of problems ensued. Giant water project construction is not just technical issues, but also the relationship between the livelihood of millions of people, affecting social and political stability of the major social and political issues. Arise, such as migration, immigration associated problems caused by public opinion at home and abroad, the academic focus. How do scientific assessments of the Three Gorges Project construction and operation of the social and political stability in the situation, analyze social and political stability to maintain or affect the basic mechanisms and factors, yet is a very urgent and important research topic. This article tries to explore the political stability produced by the construction of the Three GorgesThis paper first sort out the literature at home and abroad. Literature about Problems of the Three Gorges is quite rich, but about the stability of the Three Gorges is quite limited, and the main emphasis on the migration stability. Mainly discusses:the content of the status of the Three Gorges project's stability; the stability of status quo and future; the stability and instability manifestations; the reasons of instability; the countermeasures of instability.Overseas reasearches combed the literature from the 20th century 50 years to so far on the political stability in the literature focus on its research methods, research content, research findings, more focused study of indicators for the design, discussed, and political stability in several variables:dissatisfaction with modern, legitimacy, attack and punishment. The second aspect of the overseas literature is about social movement, and explore the relative deprivation, social breakdown, resource mobilization, political opportunity structure, political process, in view of theoretical frameworks. With regard to the Three Gorges of the overseas literature is also less about stable problem, mainly to explore possible impacts.Second, building research framework for the design and construction models. In this paper, we see about the civic action and psychological study and put forward the hypothesis, according to the hypothesis of measured variables in the development of political stability and impact variables, measured variables for political instability in the trust and actions affect the variables divided into 10 kinds:social reconstruction, urbanization, rights awareness, political participation, political satisfaction, political efficacy, social networks, social organizations, psychological adjustment, modernity. In turn affect the measured variables and indicators of system variables and put forward action-oriented programs, and build a model of factor analysis, multiple regression model, to form a stable mechanism model.Third, we will measure the situation of the Three Gorges region's political stability measurements. First of the Three Gorges region's stability and instability of political trust variables describe the actions, and actions of political trust and instability of factor analysis, to stabilize the situation in two variables extracted factors, which collected the grass-roots political trust and political trust and political trust, judicial and political trust, the media and political trust in four factors, not for your actions taken action to expand its influence factors, demonstrations blocking factor, local visits factor, violent protests factor and reflects the assistance factor 5 factor, the estimated factor scores. And then factor scores to cluster analysis and multiple comparison of means to observe the different groups of people clustering of the different conditions and a stable condition. Finally,we analyse the effects of each variable separately social reconstruction, urbanization, rights awareness, political participation, political satisfaction, political efficacy, social networks, social organizations and psychological adaptation, Modernity and the measured variables of political trust, unstable operation of the various factors associated analysis, multiple regression analysis, curve estimation, and in order to best simulate the state of reality. We get the results as follows:Urban-rural status, the political landscape of the Communist Party members, psychological adaptation only affect the political trust, had no effect on the unstable behavior, in which the capacity of political trust between urban and rural areas to have a negative impact; psychological adaptation to produce positive effects on political trust. Sex, educational level, age, urbanization, political satisfaction, political efficacy, the modern nature of the variable are political trust and instability behavior have an effect. In which gender, education, urbanization, political satisfaction, political efficacy variables on both of which produce negative effects. The impact of age on both of them are positive, meaning that the more elderly persons, the lower the political trust, the more younger people,the more frequently unstable operation. Modernity generated a positive impact on the political trust,and produce both positive and negative effects on the unstable action.
Keywords/Search Tags:Three Gorge Reservoir Area, Political Stability, Political trust, Unstable operation, Factor Analysis, Multiple regression analysis
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