On Information Management And Prediction System Of Enterprise-owned Rail Vehicle Components

For a long period of time, the management departments of the railway vehicles of the enterprise have been using manual recording method to carry out the information management of the railway vehicles of the enterprise and depending on the human experience to forecast the using situation of the railway vehicle components of the enterprise. In recent years, with the constant development of the computer technology, the application of teamwork and computer has been more and more widespread. Therefore, it is hypothesized to use computer technology to manage the data information of the railway vehicles of the enterprise and adopt the forecasting methods with a solid theoretical foundation to realize forecasting the using situation of the railway vehicle components of the enterprise so as to guarantee the safe and stable operation of the railway vehicles of the enterprise. The information management and the forecasting of the railway vehicle components of the enterprise is the means through the data collection and the use of the relevant information resources and processing the data in turn according to the certain order to realize the information management and the forecasting of the railway vehicle components of the enterprise.This thesis introduces Box-Jenkins law into the information management and the forecasting system of the railway vehicle components of the enterprise and has achieved the information management and the forecasting of the railway vehicle components of the enterprise. The article first puts forward the general design goal of the system, and then carries on the general design and the detailed design, meanwhile, systematically introduces Box-Jenkins law, the information management and the forecasting system, the information management and the forecasting model, the information management and the forecasting modeling method and the related intelligent concepts and knowledge. Then, as for the data collection and analysis of Box-Jenkins law in the forecasting of the railway vehicle components of the enterprise, the article offers the corresponding process model and organizational model. Then, the paper has produced the achievement of the C/S structure of Box-Jenkins law forecasting model under the technical support of VC++ and SQL Server 2000. Finally, this paper studies the feasibility of Bocks-Jenkins law in the forecasting of the using situation of the railway vehicle components of the enterprise.