The Analysis And Demand Estimation Of The Relation Between Chinese Automomile Industry And Domestic Economy

In the 21th century, with the further development of the globalization and the economic integration, the world automobileindustry appears a new trend----the center will transfer to thedeveloping country. To china, one of the developing countries, it is not only a huge opportunity but also a great challenge.So many years development of the automobile industry, our country has built a certain foundation and now has begun to enter into a new high speed stage. From now to the next 20 years, a turning point will appear for our nation's auto industry. The function of the automotive industry in our Gross Domestic economics will become larger and larger, and its drive for the economics to grow will also become stronger and stronger.But, on the other hand, the automobile industry also brings lots of problems, such as the energy shortage> the environmental pollution, the land decrease and the city transportation jam. Those problems leads many people to doubt even to deny to the development of the automobile industry, especially the private car industry.This paper does not mean to neglect these problems, but put more emphasis from the economic angle on the extremely importance and indispensability that automobile industry brings to our economy. The paper adopts analogism, regression estimation and SWOT analysis, mainly talking about three questions. First, through the analysis of the relation between the automotive industry and the GDP, it testifies the intense relationship between them. Second, through the analysis of the function that the auto industry plays in the macroeconomics, it affirms the automobile industry's drive for the economy. Third, through the automobile industry's actuality and SWOT analysis, the writer finds out the road to further our future auto industry. Then next, through the analysis of the future automotive industry development, the author makes an estimation of the automotive market demand of the year 2010 and 2020. Finally, the writer has a conclusion----although there are lots of problems, our country should stillinsist on developing the automobile industry and encouraging the...