Application Of Statistical Analysis In Tourism Overseas Group Of Jilin Province

Mathematical statistics is a branch of mathematics, which has been rapidly developedin recent years. Especially in such circumstances that computers are very popular today,mathematical statistical analysis has been widely used in many fields such as social scienceand natural science. It is more applied in economy, finance and medicine, but the applicationin tourism economics has just started. Domestic academic organization put the analysesmainly on object systems, subject systems and medium systems, which form chief tourismsystems. The research on object systems are more repeated, however, the comprehensivestudying of Colony's market , supply-demand relationship , individual behavior , dynamic laware much lesser.This research is a subject that attempt to work over on tourism subject systems, withinbound tour of Jilin Province for the breakthrough point, using the analytical method ofmathematical statistics synthetically and introduce statistical method in economics research oftravel and practice.Through cluster's analysis, principal composition analysis and regressionanalysis ,reveal Jilin Province's main guest source country and relations between JilinProvince and city of other ports of our country. Then classify the main guest source country ,replace the qualitative categorized method in the past by quantitative means, define JilinProvince, as a land province with what port inbound tour of city has dependent relations. Setup visitor predict models and number predict models of each guest source country that travelsin Jilin Province finally. Guide travel research and practice work through the conclusion thatstatistical analysis gets, offer the theoretical foundation for functional department, travelenterprises and institutions of the government carry-on decision at the same time .This research lay cluster analysis, principal composition analysis, and regression analysisamong mathematical statistics as the theoretical foundation, through a large number of marketsurvey , collect relevant data materials , construct ideal statistical analysis model of JilinProvince travel abroad , in order to solve travel guest flow attitude , restriction factor , travel ,flow number of people predict , market requirement forecasting, realistic problem etc. Andthen make statistics set up the connection with some new developing disciplines, expand theresearch category of statistics.