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The Research On Risk Management Of Investors In BOT Folk Capital High Road Project

Posted on:2007-05-12Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:S L WuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2189360185975672Subject:Management Science and Engineering
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The layout of the national high speed road net was passed ,which has 0.85 million kilometers, will be completed in 2020 in plan. Because there isn't enough money to build it by the government, how to finance is a difficult that must be solved immediately.The BOT model with folk capital is the best choices to work out the problem which was put forward after it was analyzed in this paper, because of the enormous funds to cost and a long time to gain the income in highway construction, the folk investor to invest the BOT project will be faced with great risks.The theory of the comprehensive risk management is used to build a all-purpose risk management system to provide a decision and a efficient risk management method for the folk investor in this paper. In the part of road engineering project risk identification, the table of road engineering project risk identification was summarized according to the phase of risk and the Proto type theory in this paper. In the part of road engineering project risk measurement,the method of fuzzy and utility risk measurement based on fuzzy theories and utility theories was used in this paper to deal with the problem that loss probability,loss value and risk value have fuzzy feature and project risk manager's subjective factors have effects on risk measurement; In the part of road engineering project risk evaluation, the method of fuzzy and utility risk evaluation and the AHP was combined in this paper to evaluate the risk. In the part of road engineering project risk handling, whether or not to invest and how to manage the risk efficiently were analyzed in this paper. In addition, xiangjing highway was taken for example to analyze the risk According to the course of road engineering project risk management.
Keywords/Search Tags:BOT model with folk capital, Risk management, Fuzzy, Utility, AHP
PDF Full Text Request
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