The Regularity Analysis And Forecasting Of Market Clearing Price

As to a generation plant,MCP directly determines its output quantity and therefore its incomes. Similarly,MCP also influences the consumption quantity of a consumer to some extent.So it is important to research the regularity and forecast of MCP.The paper introduce electric power market transaction mode and pricing mechanism,discuss the establishment and the factors of MCP.According to actual electric market mcp data,the characteristic and distributes of MCP having been in progress studying,and the conclusion that different period data of MCP have different time series characteristic.Then, the chaotic feature of electricity price is verified by means of chaos theory, and based on Lyapunov exponent for price forecasting.Finally, the use of nonparametric regression which function not bound by law to return to the ideas MCP forecast ,and comparing the results prove its applicability.