An Analysis Of Petroleum Products Refined Strategic Reserve Scale Of China In New Period

Because energy is an important resource of the national economy and the people's livelihood, energy security is an essential part of the security of national defense and economy. In main countries all over the world, petroleum takes up a dominant status in the energy structure for it's a basic energy to support the modernization of national defense and the development of economy. Petroleum products refined, which cannot be regenerated, is a direct energy to maintain the development of military forces, economy and society of a country. Since the demand of petroleum products refined is enlarging in each country with the accelerating process of globalization, the competitions for petroleum products refined among countries become more and more drastic. So, the petroleum products refined supply security is now becoming one of the most important factors that can influence the synthesis power of a country as well as the turbulences of the international politics and economy.Based on the analysis of the theory about petroleum economics and national defense as well as the situation of petroleum products refined supply of China, this thesis firstly points out the importance and necessity of the establishment of the petroleum products refined strategic reserve. After that, according to the political and economic positions that China faced in new period, the thesis uses trend-regression method and fluctuating index method to classify the fill-draw object model of petroleum products refined strategic reserve. And than, the dynamic analyze frame of the reserve scale is put forward. What's more, this thesis mainly designs the evaluation indexes of the fill-draw object model of the strategic reserve. At last, using these indexes and fuzzy-grey element analysis theory, the thesis evaluates some fill-draw object models and provide the feasible plans of petroleum products refined strategic reserve scale of China on the ground of the optimal object model to make some preliminary suggestions for establishing petroleum products refined strategic reserve of China.