Empirical Research On Beijing Light Industry Development State

Light industry is the material basis of city economic life. It is playing an irreplaceable role in promoting urban modernization, social economic development and meeting the needs of people'living. After 50 years'development, from small to big, from weak to strong, light industry of Beijing has undergone historic change and now it has been formed the light industry production system composed of a number of Industry.By the systematic analysis of the national economic structure and macroeconomic running feature of Beijing Province since its reform and opening,depending on the time-series data of economic variables, to synthetically use certain economic theories,econometric methods and computer application software, the author established a small macroeconometric model of Beijing Province. Aimed to revealing the relationship of every economy indicators of Beijing, and outstanding the relationship between overall economic Indicators of light industry and the total economic output in the macroeconomic operation of Beijing. And with the tool of model, the author forecast for the main indicators of the development trend of Beijing macroeconomic and light industry in next five years. In addition, through the changes of different elements to get policy simulation of the next five years, in order to predicted the major economic indicators'level and the speed of development of light industry. Wish the research have certain practical use on the making of effective macroeconomic policy in the government.