The Research Of Financial Risk Prediction System Of Private Scientific-Technologial Enterprise

Along with more and more sustaions from government, Private S&T Enterprises have developed quickly. But the problems in financial management become more and more serious. Those problems have baffled the development of those enterprises. One outstanding problem is that they are short of a perfect system of risk prediction.The paper analyses the financial risks in its different life phases and daily financial moments, and then scales the risks by qualitative index and mensurable index, then uses "Z score" model and blurry AHP model to establish the risk prediction model. All those works can sustain the establishment and accomplishment for five subsystems of Private Scientific-Technologial Enterprises' financial risk prediction system.Firstly,it clarifies the research background and research necessity ,sums up all research results and research methods.Secondly, it introduces some conceptions and composing factors & functions of financial risk prediction system. Then summarizes the actualities of Private Scientific-Technologial Enterprises and developing modes and financial risks.Thirdly, it discusses how to establish financial risk prediction system of Private Scientific-Technologial Enterprises. The system includes information subsystem, index numeration subsystem, evaluation subsystem, annunciator subsystem and countermeasure subsystem. The system needs the running environment such as perfecting the design of system,establishing computer assistant management system,guiding the risks management thoughtway,perfecting financial information's controlling system and so on.At last,it gives an example of "Hai-na Scientific-Technologial Enterprises" and validates the usefulness of blurry compositive predection system.