An Empirical Analysis Of Why The Banks Deposit And Lending Spread Widened

Since 1994, our commercial banks began to have the problem about deposit and lending poor. In 1999,100 million yuan,after that,it steadily increased at a rate of 1 trillion yuan each year. By the end of 2005,domestic financial institutions deposit and lending reached 9.2 trillion yuan poor,it accounted for 32 percent of the balance of deposits,at the same time,deposit and loan in the provinces were poor.Deposit and loan problems worse by increasing the attention of the people,as financial institutions,it was good for daily business to have some outstanding of deposits,however,if the loan-to-deposit poor balance too much on the development of the whole economy has many negative effects.A large number of social idle funds increased commercial banks financial risks and the risk of people's savings,simultaneously,it also reduced effects of monetary policy and led to excessive competition amongst comercial banks.This show that,deposit and lending to the poor constantly expanding would bring China's economic development a series of negative effects,increase the cost of economic development.Thus,we need to study the huge amount of the deposit and lending in banks formed the reasons for the poor,how much is the degree of influence of these reasons? What is the correct view of these factors? How to make better use of them for economic development?This paper first describes the basic development status of China deposit and lending poor in recent years and the study results about this problem abroad.Different scholars on the causes of this problem have different views,through the collation of these theories,selecting investment in fixed assets,mirror image of foreign exchange reserve,rate and savings rate of urban and rural resdents as independent variables,data for the 27 years of time-series data from 1980 to 2006,the ways for analysing are unit root test,cointegration test and ECM model.There are long-term impact on relations between independent and dependent variables.For these factors,government formulates the corresponding policies,it enables banks in the course of business tends to a virtuous circle of the process, better to promote the development of China's economy,and provides for the building of a harmonious society the financial security of a solid system.