Study On Simulated Early-warning System For Fur Animals Breed Industry

Fur animal breed industry early-warning system is a new mode for breed aquatics industry management. And its final goal is to make sure that the fur animal breed aquatics industry is operating in the comparatively safe management .So research results will directly relate to the correct understanding and judgment of fur animal breed aquatics industry. However, traditional method often depends on expert experience and the simple model and can't meet the objective requirements of the actual breed aquatics industry early-warning.The letterpress begins from fur animal breed aquatics industry early-warning system, it analyzes meaning and divide for risk of fur animal breed aquatics industry in our country; corresponding a framework of early-warming indicators is built with export value as the warming situation indicator and average export price totle yield . Then through choose alarm explain the theory of equation of time related coefficient and date region. Introduces the software of equation of time related coefficient and dissect with case; then it relates some usual method that used in economy. Finding out machine-learning is the suitable way that making a early-warning for fur animal breed aquatics industry. Through analyse the theory machine-learning, the letterpress adhibit the most advanced the machine of backup vector for building a framework of early-warming indicators. and validating fur animal breed aquatics industry early-warning system. at last, it is summing-up that the theory of machine-learning is feasible for fur animal breed aquatics industry early-warning system.The letterpress bring forward the mechanism of fur animal breed aquatics industry early-warning system at last. firstly, analyzing risk of fur animal breed aquatics industry; secondly, combining five guideline of fur animal breed aquatics industry early-warning(science principle, delicacy principle, practicality principle, autocephaly principle, dynamic principle,)making a framework of early-warming; thirdly, basing on equation of time related coefficient, manage the math software—CORREL operation the data, gain the result of equation of time related coefficient. Accroding the result make a choice check out guideline; fourth, demarcation the warden; according majority principle, half principle, average principle carve up none warning, lingt warning, middle warning, heavy warning on fur animal breed aquatics industry. then confirming the last warden. fiveth, building a Support Vector Machine framework of fur animal breed aquatics industry early-warming indicators. Using the Support Vector Machine software under mature windows operating system simulate check up fur animal breed aquatics industry early-warning system.