Bot Projects Risk Evaluation

With the development of BOT project in our country, it plays a more and more important role in the society. The smooth implementation of BOT project has great economic and social value. Therefore, the risk of BOT project during its implementation becomes the key question of common concern for all the participants.Any BOT project has risk, but how to appraise the risk effectively is a realistic problem remained to solve. This thesis analyzes and estimates the risk of BOT project and then sets up an assessment system for risk of BOT project on the basis of all the participants' risk decisions. The definite purpose is to seek and find the effective method to evaluate the risk of BOT project and give certain reference to the management of BOT project.This paper integrates BOT project risk management theory with the realistic characteristics of BOT project. Through consulting a large amount of domestic and international relevant materials and on the basis of the data gathered by survey and spot investigation, the paper confirms and divides the risk factors of BOT project from the point of view of participants to make the complex risk analysis easier. In addition, it establishes a stratum structure on the basis of those factors and sets up the evaluation index system based on BOT project risk of different participants.At the same time, on the basis of analyzing the current methods of appraisal of project risk, the paper puts forward a model based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation to make it possible to evaluate the BOT project risk.