On the basis of analysis to the current situation of Nanjing residential real estate industry, this paper applied economics, statistics and gray system theories to study authentically the development tendency of the residential commodity houses of Nanjing.This paper included five parts. It discussed the research backdrop and significance in the first part. The second part are some fundamentals of residential real estate industry. It analyzed the current situation and pointed out the existed problems of Nanjing in the third part. With the full and accurate data, the fourth part had forecasted the development tendency of Nanjing residential real estate market from three aspects of supply, demand and price. On the basis of gray relational analysis method, it demonstrated the main factors affect the commodity housing demand. The paper applied the GM(1, 1) model to establish the gray forecast model of Nanjing commodity housing sales. Finally, based on regression analysis, the result indicates that the housing price was not caused by supply and demand.On the basis of the research what had made, part five argued the development prospect of Nanjing residential market and put forward some corresponding policy proposals. |