| Rural roads is an important part of the road network, it is to improve ruralproduction and living of the important infrastructure, also Solving ’ rural issue ’problem of the fundamental condition, especially in relation to the rural economic andsocial harmonious development. At present, the central and local government attachesgreat importance to rural work and to promote a new socialist countryside constructio,accelerate the construction of a new socialist countryside, building a moderatelyprosperous and harmonious society, the number of rural roads, the quality of thehigher requirements, Therefore, the rural road network plays an important role in thepromotion of rural infrastructure and rural regional economic development. Fact asChina’s economic development, rural development, the deepening of the rural roadnetwork planning and construction backward problems have become increasinglyurgent duty, seriously hampered the development of rural economy and thereforestrengthen the planning and construction of rural roads have important practicalsignificance. This article aimed at the prediction method of the scale of thedevelopment of the rural road network, making it a better guide to the present stage ofrural road network construction and development.Jilin Rural Roads in the development of ‘the12th Five-Year Plan’ period,described the stuation and foreign rural road network, analyze the existing problemsin China’s rural road network planning and development. On the basis of a lot ofresearch, combined with the current development of the rural road network in JilinProvince, the use of the technology index system to analyze the existing rural roadnetwork, By territory coefficient method, the comprehensive coefficient method, theeffective connectivity method, the total size of the rural road network in Jilin Province,predictive analysis, and finally the total size of the road network, the technicalevaluation and social evaluation. Finally, the rural road network planning, technicalevaluation and social evaluation. The main results of this paper is as follows: (1) describes the status of the rural road network in Jilin Province, and the therural road network actuality,objective analysis and evaluation.The conclusion is: Thelower grade of Jilin rural roads, road pavement rate is poor, low connectivity.(2) through the scientific method of calculating, based on historical informationand data to predict the trend of socio-economic development of Jilin Province,including: gross national product, population, transportation and other importanteconomic data.(3) by analyzing the relationship of the road network and the social andeconomic development, the size of the trunk road network in Jilin Province and JilinProvince, cities and public scale to predict, and thus come to the planning of ruralroad network in Jilin Province.Coordination with local economic and social development, to avoid laggingbehind economic development and blind waste of resources through scientific andrational prediction analysis and comprehensive evaluation, and strive to make theconstruction of rural road network, Rural road network planning to better serve thescientific planning, rational distribution of the role, and lay a good foundation for theconstruction of a new countryside. |