| With the development and progress of the social economy, in the modern socialproduction and life, oil has become more and more important, while most of the major oilproduction areas in our country has entered the later period of mining, at this time in order toensure that oil has a high recovery to meet the social production and living must timely andefficiently develop the oilfield production early warning, real-time monitoring of theunderground reservoir geology in the process of oilfield development and pumping unitrelated equipment above the well, and diagnoses as well as analyses various problems thatmay occur, then discovers abnormal situation in the production in time, at the beginning of theabnormal events early warns, in order to take preventive measures in advance, so as to avoidproduction accident, achieve the oilfield stable and high production.In this paper through the study of the data mining and early warning technology and therelated theory, decide to use the method of data mining, combine with the accumulation of alarge number of valuable data in the process of oilfield production and development, in viewof the specific ways for different early warning, establish the oilfield development dynamicearly warning model on analysis of the efficiency of the pumping unit. According to the aboveideas, firstly, establish COPSP-DM data mining process standards, regulate oilfield-orientedof data mining process. After describe the key problems of early warning model establishmentprocess in detail, mainly include the analysis and selection of classification algorithmsã€waveequation algorithm based on damping automendã€the implement of standard well indicatordiagram algorithm based on multiple linear regression〠matching vector quantizationalgorithm of matching vector quantization based on Spliting. Then according to theCOPSP-DM process steps determine mining goal respectively, decompose target problem, inview of subproblems establish mining model, obtain early warning related knowledge throughthe preprocessing of historical data, combine with the specific early warning method toestablish early warning model, finally give the overall dynamic early warning model.Through the establishment of the early warning model can well monitor the changingrule of the single well production data, give the warning signal of the abnormal production intime, in order to achieve the ultimate goal of improvement recovery, ensure the steadydevelopment of society. |