Chinese Choice Of Economic Stimulus Exit Policy Based On The International Comparison Perspective

In September2008, the subprime crisis evolved into a global financial crisis, in orderto alleviate the negative influence of the crisis, every countries all carried out theireconomic stimulus plan properly, such as tax cuts, rate cut, subsidies, direct capitalinjection, public spending and so on. A series of economic stimulus plans played a positiverole, the global economic is gradually recovery. At the same time, side effects appears,fiscal deficit expansion, the national credit crisis risk increase, liquidity surplus, inflationpressures. To ensure the economic transition smoothly and achieve economic balance,every country should choose the right time, way and path for policy exit.This paper is divided into five parts, the first chapter mainly introduced thebackground, significance, literature review, research methods, etc. The second chapteranalyzes the related theory, financial crisis theory, economic cycle theory, economicintervention theory, economy self-organization theory, and so on. The third chapteranalysis The Great Depression, the "new economy" crisis, Japan2001-2006loosermonetary policy, and the typical countries of this financial crisis, take their exit policy forreference. The fourth chapter analysis the necessity of exit, the consequences of not choosethe correct time and points out the time, tools, route, procedures of economic stimuluspolicy in our country. Chapter5suggest that in order to achieve the policy exit, we shouldpromote financial innovation, complete monetary policy transformation, changesprescriptions the type to adjust the structure.In this paper, we research the theory of economic exit policy specially, provide somesuggestions to our country. The overall recovery momentum of this financial crisis is good,but some factors bring a lot of uncertainty such as the Europe debt crisis, specific exitpolicy formulation still need to refer to economic situation.