The Design And Implementation Of International Marine Logistics Decision-making System Under The Uncertain Environment

International marine logistics is an important way of international trade. As the fastdevelopment of international trade in China, the international marine logistics field alsodeveloped rapidly. As a kind of service industry, the international marine logisticscompanies continuously improve the quality of their service with the “customer first”purpose. But it raises a higher demand for international marine logistics system as thecomplex influence such as the excess of ocean transport capacity, the fierce competitionand the downturn of international trade.International maritime logistics business needs collaboration of related enterprises.Operational differences and lack of information exchange bring out many uncertaintiesin inter-enterprise collaboration. And as a whole, its business processes has thecharacteristics of complexity and variability which results in many uncertainties. Theuse of dynamic decision-making technology to the international maritime logisticssystem will be able to cope with the sudden appearance of an uncertain event, and helpenterprises reduce operating costs, reduce risk, improve operational efficiency, andincrease customer satisfaction. This article will make research at the following aspects:First of all, we analysis and modeling for international marine logistics business,summarize the characteristics of its business and clarify its business managementprocesses. Furthermore, for the uncertainties of international marine logistics processes,we extract the uncertain events and then classify them. We also discussed thecorresponding decision-making measures, and classify them. For the problem ofresponse to the complexity and variability, we build a model named Transport ServicePlan. Based on the above model, we study the influence of the logistics processesuncertainty, and build the process node uncertainty state model and the cascadeuncertainty model. With these work, we pave the way for subsequent decision-making.Secondly, by studying MDP (Markov decision process) we create a method basedon MDP and realize the decision of optimal plan in uncertain environment.Finally, for the problem of model division and the realization, we analyze anddesign the system, summed up the function of the system, design the information modeland database and realize it, which verified the important role of this research.