Statistical Analysis Of Risk Of Air Pollution On People Health

In recent years, environmental problems have draw greater attention with the rapid development of our social economy, especially the fog weather in 2011. From the pollutants exposure in crowd, disease mortality, attribution of deaths and life expectancy loss,the study on the effects of air quality on public health was based on air quality data,population data, meteorological data and health statistics.Using the model of GAM to analyze the effects of air pollution on the respiratory system disease mortality,basing on the data of the four municipalities directly under the central government,found that the relationship between API and respiratory disease was nonlinear, but the two moving average linear relationship with mortality and a significant impact. The influence coefficient was 0.0510, showing that chronic health effects of air quality was more significant than acute health effect.Using the poisson regression proportion risk model to estimate attribution deaths respectively, found that the death caused by PM2.5 and Ozone pollution were 851 and886 in 2013; and in 2014, the death caused by PM2.5 and Ozone pollution were 848 and 924. And then preparing a list of the life expectancy to estimate life expectancy loss caused by PM2.5 pollution found that the life expectancy loss in Shanghai was2.5 years, higher than Guangzhou(0.57 years). Throughout the age group, the losses in life expectancy in each age group was slightly different, the 0 ~ to 75 ~ group loss of life expectancy more than 2 years, and the 80 ~ group and so on, 1.83 years and0.03 years respectively.