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A Research Of Long Memory About Chinese Stock Market

Posted on:2017-03-12Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:H ZhaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2279330488463022Subject:Applied statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Capital markets tend to have non-linear characteristics, and an important manifestation of non-linear is long memory. Whether Chinese stock market has a characteristic of long memory has been controversial.This paper’s data are selected from Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index in November 2008- January 2016. Through establishing the ARFIMA model, we can study whether Chinese stock market has a characteristic of long memory. The study finds that in each period, the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index have shown different degrees of long-term memory, and the strength of Shenzhen Component Index’s long memory is stronger than the Shanghai Composite Index.This paper argues that Chinese stock market has a characteristic of long memory, and is not an efficient market, but the long memory is weak, which means that Chinese stock market is gradually maturing.
Keywords/Search Tags:Long memory, ARFIMA model, Fractal difference parameter
PDF Full Text Request
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