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Estimating Ground-level NO2 Concentrations Based On Geographically And Temporally Weighted Regression Model

Posted on:2018-10-11Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:L L RaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2321330539475489Subject:Cartography and Geographic Information Engineering
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China has been suffering from serious air pollution,which has imposed a bad influenced on human's health.NO2 is an important air pollutant in atmosphere,and it can cause photo-chemical smog,acid deposition and atmospheric ozone variation.Environmental Protection Department of our country has built1497 stations to monitor the air pollution in different cities,and NO2 has been one of the regular monitoring item.Ground-level NO2 is closely related with human's health.Although ground-based monitoring stations can give relatively accurate measurements,it is not appropriate to use them in large scale research.Now,there has been scientific theory and mature algorithm for the retrieval of NO2 concentrations from satellite data.Using satellite data to study the change of NO2 in different scales has become an effective method.We used tropospheric NO2 columns from OMI,meteorological data from WRF model and ground-based NO2 measurements to analyze the relationship between tropospheric NO2 columns,meteorological data and ground-based measurements.We used GTWR model and adaptive bandwidth to estimate ground-level concentrations,and compared GTWR result with the result of OLR,GWR,TWR,and computed population-weighted ground-level NO2 concentration based on GTWR,and found: 1)GTWR had the best performance with the highest correlation coefficient and the lowest errors;2)TWR had a better performance than GWR,which represented that the relationship between NO2 columns and ground-level NO2 showed a bigger temporal variation;3)The performance of GTWR showed obvious seasonal difference and geographical difference.The estimation in winter had the best relationship with observed NO2 concentrations while the estimation in summer had a worst one.The NO2 columns in autumn had the best relationship with ground-level NO2.3)Compared with the ordinary mean values of NO2,population-weighted NO2 concentrations could show the exposure of population to NO2 pollution.The population-weighted NO2 concentrations in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,Shaanxi,Henan,Shandong was high and most provinces in eastern China has been influenced by NO2 pollution in varying degrees.We also introduced other three method to estimate ground-level NO2 concentrations: interpolation method,neural network and simulation from atmospheric chemical model WRF-Chem model.1)Interpolation method was simple and it could give the spatial distribution of ground-level NO2 concentrations.But it was not easy to get accurate values or give details where monitoring stations were very sparse or not available.2)Neural network had a better performance than OLR model but it had a worse performance than GTWR.3)WRF-Chem could simulate the ground-level NO2 and the vertical distribution of NO2,based on which tropospheric NO2 columns could be computed.The ground-level NO2 concentration and NO2 columns from WRF-Chem had a limited relation with ground-based measurements?R2=0.23,0.17 respectively?.
Keywords/Search Tags:ground-level NO2 concentrations, geographically and temporally weighted regression, OMI, eastern China
PDF Full Text Request
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