Research On Technology Foresight Methods Of Slope Stability Evaluation

With the rapid development of economic globalization and science and technology,a business or a country wants in a position,not only to learn advanced technology,but also visionary thinking,that is to have innovative thinking.Technology Foresight as an emerging technology,has long been used in developed countries for various areas of economic development and science and technology strategy,and achieved very effective results.Technology foresight began in the United States,followed by some developed countries,such as Japan,the United Kingdom and Germany have also recognized the importance of technology foresight,to carry out the research on technology foresight of and predict the future development trend of various fields.Some developing countries are also closely followed by technology foresight to identify the country’s future focus on the development of the field,so that the optimization of resource allocation,so that can be more rapid development.Slope stability problem is a complex and variable problem,the design of the field is also very wide,including construction,road and bridge construction,water conservancy and hydropower projects,mining and other fields involved in slope stability.With the rapid development of China’s economy,the phenomenon of slope instability is becoming more and more common,resulting in economic losses and casualties is also immeasurable.Although now slope stability problem in our country also has the corresponding research results,but there are still many deficiencies,thus further improving and improved methods of the slope stability research is imperative.This paper is the study of technology foresight for slope stability analysis,through technology foresight study on slope stability analysis method to predict future trends.To identify and focus on key areas of slope stability analysis technology development,thereby contributing to slope stability analysis method development and further reduce the negative social impact of slope stability problems caused by such slope stability analysis by statistical analysis the method further optimized.This paper will Slope Stability Analysis and Technology Foresight combining research,hoping to get the following results:(1)Slope stability analysis is mainly what specific method,which requires improvement of these specific methods exist;(2)Through technology foresight,slope stability analysis to identify key areas of technology and future trends;(3)Provide some reference for slope stability analysis of the future development of the field,hoping for the future development of the field out of a modest.