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The Contribution Of Sichuan Province Higher Vocational Education To Economic Growth

Posted on:2017-09-18Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:L X LvFull Text:PDF
GTID:2347330512958366Subject:Statistics
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Education as an important way of human capital formation, the reasonable construction of education system is particularly important. Vocational education as an important part of education, to improve the education system construction, promote the overall development of the national quality, promote the development of social economy, has an irreplaceable role. How to build the system of vocational education is an important topic of contemporary society. Country attaches great importance to vocational education development in recent years, emphasizes the important position of vocational education in the education system. Countries also issued relevant policy, designed to promote the development of vocational education, coordinate each component part of the education system, promote the development of our country's economy.Although the vocational education development in our country these years made great achievements, but the development of vocational education is still relatively backward in economy development request, not good to meet the requirements of the economic development of our country. Although the vocational education in constant development and improvement, but on the whole, many problems still exist. Modern vocational education system and the development process remains to be further perfected and strengthened, huang yanpei had summarized vocational education target as:"Promote the growth, Promoting employment", but due to the large population in our country, the education system is imperfect, causes our country still faces the difficult employment, employment is difficult to the plight of counterpart. According to the statistics show that in many parts of our country emerged enterprises demand and supply of high-quality talent supply gap, even in some areas appeared a labor shortage, thus greatly limits the development of enterprises and social economy;, on the other hand, a large number of young people with no skills can only be unemployed in the home, the aspects of the contradiction between supply and demand of human resources are in urgent need of solution, and vocational education as the contact bridge of enterprises and workers, much attention has been paid to its development pattern and process, in this environment, how to develop vocational education in our country become a hot topic in society.Sichuan province as economy, population and the big province of resources. It should pay more attention to vocational education system construction and development, improve the level of the development of vocational education and quality. This article taking sichuan province as an example, through the statistical analysis method, the research of higher vocational education in sichuan province and the relationship between economic growth. Given the corresponding policy recommendations according to the result of empirical analysis, which could serve as the basis of construct the reasonable vocational education system in sichuan province.Foreign literature summarize the economic growth theory and human capital theory To some extent and puts forward the prospect of the development of vocational education.Compare education and higher education, some scholars also found that the vocational education is even better than higher education may be because the system reason, but whether this is proven right in China. Domestic literature mostly USES c-d production function and denison factor analysis of the basis of relevant theories, to estimate the output elasticity, on this basis, the contribution rate of computing education to economic growth. The difference is that some scholars are doing in terms of human capital denison factorization, some scholars in terms of capital investment do denison factorization, on the basis of education contribution rate, and isolated in proportion of vocational education in education, and vocational education contribution rate is calculated. Many scholars are used during the period of study is a fixed elastic, but this approach in practice, this limitation. Because with the development of the society, the improvement of production efficiency, capital flows faster, the improvement of the comprehensive quality of labor force, the elasticity of capital and human capital is changes with the change of time, if the capital and the output elasticity of human capital into a fixed constant, to analyze the result is not reasonable. Time-varying elasticity coefficient is put forward in according to the time-varying elasticity, it aims to illustrate the elastic is changing over time, not only reflects the rationality of the theoretical system, and improve the precision of the estimate. Economists Wang Yukun (1998) based on labor simplified method with the method of time segment, calculate the 1964-1982 and 1982-1990 years of education to economic growth contribution rate were 24.9% and 26.7% respectively. Illustrates the education in China is fluctuate within a certain period of time, is not fixed. So the time-varying elasticity is more reasonable and feasible. Xian-hua luo (2009), proves the rationality of the time-varying elasticity coefficient of output. But at present most scholars rarely apply this method to the calculation of the contribution of vocational education.This article will use C-D production function model of time-varying elasticity coefficient, with education and economic growth from 1996 to 2013 in sichuan province of the relevant data, and combining the theory of human capital and education comprehensive index method, through the statistical parameters of China-Africa concluded that the local linear regression, C-D production function is obtained the time-varying elasticity coefficient estimates, and according to the likelihood ratio test, rationality of the existence of time-varying elasticity coefficient. According to the model the time-varying elasticity coefficient of capital and human capital of sichuan province, and on the basis of the elastic coefficient of human capital by calculating the contribution of education. According to the vocational education, the proportion of undergraduate education in the education, calculate the vocational education and undergraduate education contribution rate to economic growth. Compare the contribution rate of higher vocational education and undergraduate education, and the development of higher vocational education in sichuan province put forward the corresponding suggestion.This paper is obtained value by model to estimate:sichuan province from 1996 to 2013, capital elasticity change between 0.4785 and 0.5126, elasticity of human capital changes between 0.4223 and 0.4875, marginal size change between 0.9349 to 0.9659. Elasticity of human capital increases year by year, and the capital elasticity is reducing year by year, marginal scale between 1996 and 2013 in the condition of less than 1, the economic development of sichuan province in the economic cycle of the stationary phase. And by estimating the time-varying elasticity basis, in the form of education from 1996 to 2012 in sichuan province is calculated the contribution rate to economic growth, from 0.0475 to 0.1912, and calculated on the basis of the contribution rate of higher vocational education in sichuan province for the contribution rate of economic growth from 0.0045 to 0.0936. By comparing higher vocational education and undergraduate education we found:(1) 2000-2012, higher education and higher vocational education in sichuan province contributed synergy change of economic growth; (2) 2000-2012 the contribution rate of higher vocational education in sichuan province, between 0.0045 and 0.0299 contribution ratio of undergraduate education is between 0.0088 and 0.0559; (3) the higher vocational education in sichuan province in 1996-1996 contribution first increased then decreased; (4) 2000-2012, the contribution rate of undergraduate education in sichuan province is higher than the higher vocational education. According to the comparison above, this paper puts forward some policy Suggestions.
Keywords/Search Tags:Higher vocational education, economic growth, time-varying elasticity coefficient of C-D production function, local linear regression, the generalized likelihood ratio test
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